Democrats secured Senate control in the 2026 midterms by flipping seven Republican-held seats, including multiple contests in states long rated safe or likely Republican strongholds by forecasters. Confirmed results show Democratic gains in South Carolina, Kansas, Texas, Ohio, Iowa, Maine, and North Carolina, driven by strong turnout and a national wave against the incumbent party. These outcomes directly support the near-certain trader consensus reflected in the 99.6% implied probability for at least one such loss. Remaining uncalled races and any potential recounts or certification delays represent the primary unresolved factors that could theoretically alter the final tally, though current projections indicate limited impact on the established flips.
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