**US military action against Venezuela peaked with the January 3, 2026 Operation Absolute Resolve, a targeted raid involving airstrikes on air defenses and special forces that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife for narco-terrorism charges in New York.** This short operation installed Vice President Delcy Rodríguez as interim leader, triggered a state of emergency, and prompted partial US sanctions relief plus an oil revenue arrangement channeling proceeds through US-controlled accounts. Subsequent developments have emphasized economic pressure and cooperation on oil exports over territorial control or broader occupation. No major new military escalations or ground offensives have occurred in the past five months. Trader sentiment on an invasion market therefore reflects the distinction between the prior limited strike—resolved in some related contracts as engagement—and the higher threshold for an offensive aimed at establishing control over Venezuelan territory. Key variables include the interim government's compliance on drug interdiction and oil sector reforms, any scheduled political transition timelines, and US statements on further enforcement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
$14,184,336 ปริมาณ
Mar 31, 2026
December 31
6%
$14,184,336 ปริมาณ
December 31
$228,328 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.**US military action against Venezuela peaked with the January 3, 2026 Operation Absolute Resolve, a targeted raid involving airstrikes on air defenses and special forces that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife for narco-terrorism charges in New York.** This short operation installed Vice President Delcy Rodríguez as interim leader, triggered a state of emergency, and prompted partial US sanctions relief plus an oil revenue arrangement channeling proceeds through US-controlled accounts.
Subsequent developments have emphasized economic pressure and cooperation on oil exports over territorial control or broader occupation. No major new military escalations or ground offensives have occurred in the past five months. Trader sentiment on an invasion market therefore reflects the distinction between the prior limited strike—resolved in some related contracts as engagement—and the higher threshold for an offensive aimed at establishing control over Venezuelan territory. Key variables include the interim government's compliance on drug interdiction and oil sector reforms, any scheduled political transition timelines, and US statements on further enforcement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,184,336วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.**US military action against Venezuela peaked with the January 3, 2026 Operation Absolute Resolve, a targeted raid involving airstrikes on air defenses and special forces that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife for narco-terrorism charges in New York.** This short operation installed Vice President Delcy Rodríguez as interim leader, triggered a state of emergency, and prompted partial US sanctions relief plus an oil revenue arrangement channeling proceeds through US-controlled accounts.
Subsequent developments have emphasized economic pressure and cooperation on oil exports over territorial control or broader occupation. No major new military escalations or ground offensives have occurred in the past five months. Trader sentiment on an invasion market therefore reflects the distinction between the prior limited strike—resolved in some related contracts as engagement—and the higher threshold for an offensive aimed at establishing control over Venezuelan territory. Key variables include the interim government's compliance on drug interdiction and oil sector reforms, any scheduled political transition timelines, and US statements on further enforcement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,184,336วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**US military action against Venezuela peaked with the January 3, 2026 Operation Absolute Resolve, a targeted raid involving airstrikes on air defenses and special forces that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife for narco-terrorism charges in New York.** This short operation installed Vice President Delcy Rodríguez as interim leader, triggered a state of emergency, and prompted partial US sanctions relief plus an oil revenue arrangement channeling proceeds through US-controlled accounts. Subsequent developments have emphasized economic pressure and cooperation on oil exports over territorial control or broader occupation. No major new military escalations or ground offensives have occurred in the past five months. Trader sentiment on an invasion market therefore reflects the distinction between the prior limited strike—resolved in some related contracts as engagement—and the higher threshold for an offensive aimed at establishing control over Venezuelan territory. Key variables include the interim government's compliance on drug interdiction and oil sector reforms, any scheduled political transition timelines, and US statements on further enforcement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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