The United States carried out targeted military operations in Venezuela in early January 2026 that resulted in the capture of Nicolás Maduro, after which interim authorities under Delcy Rodríguez assumed power. Since March, Washington and Caracas have restored full diplomatic relations, reopened the U.S. embassy, eased sanctions, and advanced oil and mineral cooperation agreements. Congress has not authorized or passed any declaration of war, and ongoing bilateral engagement—including trade deals and prisoner releases—has replaced earlier confrontation. These verified developments, combined with the absence of new escalatory actions in the past several months, explain why prediction markets assign negligible probability to a formal congressional declaration of war by mid-2026. Scheduled Venezuelan political transition steps and U.S. policy continuity remain the primary factors that could still influence the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วสหรัฐฯจะประกาศสงครามกับเวเนซุเอลาอย่างเป็นทางการโดย... หรือไม่?
สหรัฐฯจะประกาศสงครามกับเวเนซุเอลาอย่างเป็นทางการโดย... หรือไม่?
$1,242,694 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2025
30 มิถุนายน 2026
1%
$1,242,694 ปริมาณ
30 มิถุนายน 2026
$477,268 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.The United States carried out targeted military operations in Venezuela in early January 2026 that resulted in the capture of Nicolás Maduro, after which interim authorities under Delcy Rodríguez assumed power. Since March, Washington and Caracas have restored full diplomatic relations, reopened the U.S. embassy, eased sanctions, and advanced oil and mineral cooperation agreements. Congress has not authorized or passed any declaration of war, and ongoing bilateral engagement—including trade deals and prisoner releases—has replaced earlier confrontation. These verified developments, combined with the absence of new escalatory actions in the past several months, explain why prediction markets assign negligible probability to a formal congressional declaration of war by mid-2026. Scheduled Venezuelan political transition steps and U.S. policy continuity remain the primary factors that could still influence the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,242,694วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.The United States carried out targeted military operations in Venezuela in early January 2026 that resulted in the capture of Nicolás Maduro, after which interim authorities under Delcy Rodríguez assumed power. Since March, Washington and Caracas have restored full diplomatic relations, reopened the U.S. embassy, eased sanctions, and advanced oil and mineral cooperation agreements. Congress has not authorized or passed any declaration of war, and ongoing bilateral engagement—including trade deals and prisoner releases—has replaced earlier confrontation. These verified developments, combined with the absence of new escalatory actions in the past several months, explain why prediction markets assign negligible probability to a formal congressional declaration of war by mid-2026. Scheduled Venezuelan political transition steps and U.S. policy continuity remain the primary factors that could still influence the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,242,694วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The United States carried out targeted military operations in Venezuela in early January 2026 that resulted in the capture of Nicolás Maduro, after which interim authorities under Delcy Rodríguez assumed power. Since March, Washington and Caracas have restored full diplomatic relations, reopened the U.S. embassy, eased sanctions, and advanced oil and mineral cooperation agreements. Congress has not authorized or passed any declaration of war, and ongoing bilateral engagement—including trade deals and prisoner releases—has replaced earlier confrontation. These verified developments, combined with the absence of new escalatory actions in the past several months, explain why prediction markets assign negligible probability to a formal congressional declaration of war by mid-2026. Scheduled Venezuelan political transition steps and U.S. policy continuity remain the primary factors that could still influence the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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