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Politika·Alisin

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

icon for Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
Politika·Alisin

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

20% tsansa
Polymarket

$27,474 Vol.

20% tsansa
Polymarket

$27,474 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The Brazilian Senate has never removed a Supreme Court justice in the modern era, reflecting the high constitutional threshold and lack of sufficient votes for impeachment proceedings against Alexandre de Moraes. Recent developments reinforce this stability, including his May 9, 2026, monocratic ruling suspending a new sentencing law that would have reduced terms for Jair Bolsonaro and others convicted in coup-related cases, pending full court review of constitutionality challenges. U.S. sanctions imposed on Moraes in 2025 were lifted by December, easing external pressure, while opposition calls for removal have not advanced through legislative committees or floor votes. These factors align with trader consensus favoring his continued tenure through at least the end of 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$27,474
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The Brazilian Senate has never removed a Supreme Court justice in the modern era, reflecting the high constitutional threshold and lack of sufficient votes for impeachment proceedings against Alexandre de Moraes. Recent developments reinforce this stability, including his May 9, 2026, monocratic ruling suspending a new sentencing law that would have reduced terms for Jair Bolsonaro and others convicted in coup-related cases, pending full court review of constitutionality challenges. U.S. sanctions imposed on Moraes in 2025 were lifted by December, easing external pressure, while opposition calls for removal have not advanced through legislative committees or floor votes. These factors align with trader consensus favoring his continued tenure through at least the end of 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$27,474
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng "Yes" o "No" shares batay sa kung naniniwala silang mangyayari ang event na ito. Ang kasalukuyang crowd-sourced probability ay 20% para sa "Yes." Halimbawa, kung ang "Yes" ay naka-presyo sa 20¢, ang market ay kolektibong nagtatakda ng 20% na tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?" ay naka-generate ng $27.5K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Mar 9, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?," piliin lang kung naniniwala ka na ang sagot ay "Yes" o "No." Ang bawat panig ay may kasalukuyang presyo na sumasalamin sa implied probability ng market. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares at na-resolve ang outcome bilang "Yes," nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1. Kung na-resolve bilang "No," ang iyong "Yes" shares ay nagkakahalaga ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?" ay 20% para sa "Yes." Ibig sabihin nito na kasalukuyang naniniwala ang Polymarket crowd na may 20% tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time batay sa actual trades, na nagbibigay ng patuloy na ina-update na signal kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.