Trader consensus on Canada’s 2026 annual CPI inflation centers on the 2.5–2.9% band at 39.8% implied probability, reflecting the Bank of Canada’s July 2026 Monetary Policy Report projection of 2.5% for the year. Recent headline readings—3.2% in May easing to 2.8% in June—were driven by elevated gasoline prices tied to Middle East supply disruptions, which lifted energy components and prompted the BoC to revise its 2026 forecast 0.2 percentage points higher. Core measures, however, have continued moderating toward the 2% target amid sub-trend growth and excess capacity, supporting expectations that the energy-driven spike will prove transitory as oil prices normalize. Market-implied odds for outcomes above 3% remain secondary, consistent with analyst forecasts that anticipate a return to the midpoint of the 1–3% target range by late 2026 or 2027 once cost pressures fade. The July CPI release, due August 17, and subsequent data will provide further signals ahead of the BoC’s next policy assessment.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateCanada Annual Inflation 2026
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
2.5–2.9% 39.8%
2.0–2.4% 17.2%
1.5–1.9% 13.8%
3.5-3.9% 13.1%
$38,065 Vol.
$38,065 Vol.
Jan 18, 2027
<1.0%
3%
1.0–1.4%
5%
1.5–1.9%
14%
2.0–2.4%
17%
2.5–2.9%
40%
3.0-3.4%
13%
3.5-3.9%
13%
4.0%+
4%
2.5–2.9% 39.8%
2.0–2.4% 17.2%
1.5–1.9% 13.8%
3.5-3.9% 13.1%
$38,065 Vol.
$38,065 Vol.
Jan 18, 2027
<1.0%
$1,081 Vol.
3%
1.0–1.4%
$5,268 Vol.
5%
1.5–1.9%
$3,350 Vol.
14%
2.0–2.4%
$1,066 Vol.
17%
2.5–2.9%
$9,552 Vol.
40%
3.0-3.4%
$13,753 Vol.
13%
3.5-3.9%
$3,511 Vol.
13%
4.0%+
$484 Vol.
4%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Trader consensus on Canada’s 2026 annual CPI inflation centers on the 2.5–2.9% band at 39.8% implied probability, reflecting the Bank of Canada’s July 2026 Monetary Policy Report projection of 2.5% for the year. Recent headline readings—3.2% in May easing to 2.8% in June—were driven by elevated gasoline prices tied to Middle East supply disruptions, which lifted energy components and prompted the BoC to revise its 2026 forecast 0.2 percentage points higher. Core measures, however, have continued moderating toward the 2% target amid sub-trend growth and excess capacity, supporting expectations that the energy-driven spike will prove transitory as oil prices normalize. Market-implied odds for outcomes above 3% remain secondary, consistent with analyst forecasts that anticipate a return to the midpoint of the 1–3% target range by late 2026 or 2027 once cost pressures fade. The July CPI release, due August 17, and subsequent data will provide further signals ahead of the BoC’s next policy assessment.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Volume
$38,065Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 18, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Trader consensus on Canada’s 2026 annual CPI inflation centers on the 2.5–2.9% band at 39.8% implied probability, reflecting the Bank of Canada’s July 2026 Monetary Policy Report projection of 2.5% for the year. Recent headline readings—3.2% in May easing to 2.8% in June—were driven by elevated gasoline prices tied to Middle East supply disruptions, which lifted energy components and prompted the BoC to revise its 2026 forecast 0.2 percentage points higher. Core measures, however, have continued moderating toward the 2% target amid sub-trend growth and excess capacity, supporting expectations that the energy-driven spike will prove transitory as oil prices normalize. Market-implied odds for outcomes above 3% remain secondary, consistent with analyst forecasts that anticipate a return to the midpoint of the 1–3% target range by late 2026 or 2027 once cost pressures fade. The July CPI release, due August 17, and subsequent data will provide further signals ahead of the BoC’s next policy assessment.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Volume
$38,065Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 18, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Canada’s 2026 annual CPI inflation centers on the 2.5–2.9% band at 39.8% implied probability, reflecting the Bank of Canada’s July 2026 Monetary Policy Report projection of 2.5% for the year. Recent headline readings—3.2% in May easing to 2.8% in June—were driven by elevated gasoline prices tied to Middle East supply disruptions, which lifted energy components and prompted the BoC to revise its 2026 forecast 0.2 percentage points higher. Core measures, however, have continued moderating toward the 2% target amid sub-trend growth and excess capacity, supporting expectations that the energy-driven spike will prove transitory as oil prices normalize. Market-implied odds for outcomes above 3% remain secondary, consistent with analyst forecasts that anticipate a return to the midpoint of the 1–3% target range by late 2026 or 2027 once cost pressures fade. The July CPI release, due August 17, and subsequent data will provide further signals ahead of the BoC’s next policy assessment.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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