Discord's elevated 79% implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026 stems primarily from the extended regulatory and market-preparation timeline following its confidential January 2026 SEC filing and engagement of Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as lead underwriters. Trader consensus continues to price modest closing valuations, with sub-$15 billion outcomes holding the highest share among possible listings, consistent with Discord's last private round near $15 billion and secondary-market indications between $6.6 billion and $10 billion. Recent developments, including the absence of a public S-1 and ongoing internal deliberations over timing amid softer monetization metrics relative to its 200 million monthly active users, have reinforced expectations of deferral into later 2026 or beyond. Upcoming catalysts such as any public filing or shifts in equity-market risk appetite could still influence resolution probabilities before the mid-year deadline.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateDiscord IPO Closing Market Cap
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
Walang IPO bago Hunyo 30, 2026 80%
<15B 5.5%
25–30B 3.8%
15–20B 3.8%
$893,958 Vol.
$893,958 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<15B
6%
15–20B
4%
20–25B
1%
25–30B
4%
30B+
1%
Walang IPO bago Hunyo 30, 2026
80%
Walang IPO bago Hunyo 30, 2026 80%
<15B 5.5%
25–30B 3.8%
15–20B 3.8%
$893,958 Vol.
$893,958 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<15B
$298,539 Vol.
6%
15–20B
$109,468 Vol.
4%
20–25B
$74,744 Vol.
1%
25–30B
$114,056 Vol.
4%
30B+
$102,720 Vol.
1%
Walang IPO bago Hunyo 30, 2026
$194,431 Vol.
80%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Discord's elevated 79% implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026 stems primarily from the extended regulatory and market-preparation timeline following its confidential January 2026 SEC filing and engagement of Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as lead underwriters. Trader consensus continues to price modest closing valuations, with sub-$15 billion outcomes holding the highest share among possible listings, consistent with Discord's last private round near $15 billion and secondary-market indications between $6.6 billion and $10 billion. Recent developments, including the absence of a public S-1 and ongoing internal deliberations over timing amid softer monetization metrics relative to its 200 million monthly active users, have reinforced expectations of deferral into later 2026 or beyond. Upcoming catalysts such as any public filing or shifts in equity-market risk appetite could still influence resolution probabilities before the mid-year deadline.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volume
$893,958Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Discord's elevated 79% implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026 stems primarily from the extended regulatory and market-preparation timeline following its confidential January 2026 SEC filing and engagement of Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as lead underwriters. Trader consensus continues to price modest closing valuations, with sub-$15 billion outcomes holding the highest share among possible listings, consistent with Discord's last private round near $15 billion and secondary-market indications between $6.6 billion and $10 billion. Recent developments, including the absence of a public S-1 and ongoing internal deliberations over timing amid softer monetization metrics relative to its 200 million monthly active users, have reinforced expectations of deferral into later 2026 or beyond. Upcoming catalysts such as any public filing or shifts in equity-market risk appetite could still influence resolution probabilities before the mid-year deadline.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$893,958Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Discord's elevated 79% implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026 stems primarily from the extended regulatory and market-preparation timeline following its confidential January 2026 SEC filing and engagement of Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as lead underwriters. Trader consensus continues to price modest closing valuations, with sub-$15 billion outcomes holding the highest share among possible listings, consistent with Discord's last private round near $15 billion and secondary-market indications between $6.6 billion and $10 billion. Recent developments, including the absence of a public S-1 and ongoing internal deliberations over timing amid softer monetization metrics relative to its 200 million monthly active users, have reinforced expectations of deferral into later 2026 or beyond. Upcoming catalysts such as any public filing or shifts in equity-market risk appetite could still influence resolution probabilities before the mid-year deadline.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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