The European Central Bank's Governing Council held its key interest rates steady at the April 30 meeting amid intensifying upside risks to inflation from energy price spikes tied to the Iran conflict, which lifted Eurozone headline inflation to 3 percent. Recent economist surveys and market pricing now project at least one 25-basis-point hike this year, most likely in June, with a second possible in September to address the revised 2.6–2.7 percent average inflation forecast for 2026. Hawkish signals from officials, including expectations that policy tightening is "all but inevitable" absent rapid de-escalation, have reinforced trader consensus around the high probability of a rate increase before year-end, while the bank continues to emphasize data dependence and avoidance of pre-commitment to any specific path.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateECB rate hike in 2026?
ECB rate hike in 2026?
$113,878 Vol.
$113,878 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$113,878 Vol.
$113,878 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The European Central Bank's Governing Council held its key interest rates steady at the April 30 meeting amid intensifying upside risks to inflation from energy price spikes tied to the Iran conflict, which lifted Eurozone headline inflation to 3 percent. Recent economist surveys and market pricing now project at least one 25-basis-point hike this year, most likely in June, with a second possible in September to address the revised 2.6–2.7 percent average inflation forecast for 2026. Hawkish signals from officials, including expectations that policy tightening is "all but inevitable" absent rapid de-escalation, have reinforced trader consensus around the high probability of a rate increase before year-end, while the bank continues to emphasize data dependence and avoidance of pre-commitment to any specific path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ET
Volume
$113,878Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The European Central Bank's Governing Council held its key interest rates steady at the April 30 meeting amid intensifying upside risks to inflation from energy price spikes tied to the Iran conflict, which lifted Eurozone headline inflation to 3 percent. Recent economist surveys and market pricing now project at least one 25-basis-point hike this year, most likely in June, with a second possible in September to address the revised 2.6–2.7 percent average inflation forecast for 2026. Hawkish signals from officials, including expectations that policy tightening is "all but inevitable" absent rapid de-escalation, have reinforced trader consensus around the high probability of a rate increase before year-end, while the bank continues to emphasize data dependence and avoidance of pre-commitment to any specific path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$113,878Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The European Central Bank's Governing Council held its key interest rates steady at the April 30 meeting amid intensifying upside risks to inflation from energy price spikes tied to the Iran conflict, which lifted Eurozone headline inflation to 3 percent. Recent economist surveys and market pricing now project at least one 25-basis-point hike this year, most likely in June, with a second possible in September to address the revised 2.6–2.7 percent average inflation forecast for 2026. Hawkish signals from officials, including expectations that policy tightening is "all but inevitable" absent rapid de-escalation, have reinforced trader consensus around the high probability of a rate increase before year-end, while the bank continues to emphasize data dependence and avoidance of pre-commitment to any specific path.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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