Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to a daily maximum near 21–22°C in Cape Town on May 18, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes. This range aligns with typical mid-May conditions shaped by the cool Benguela Current and prevailing southeasterly flow, which limit daytime heating while allowing occasional warmer intrusions from interior air masses. Latest observations show highs of 21.6°C on May 16 and similar values earlier in the week, with no strong warming signal ahead. South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs emphasize modest variability tied to cloud cover and wind shifts, keeping probabilities concentrated around the 21–22°C thresholds rather than extremes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 18?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 18?
21°C 42%
22°C 28%
20°C 14.8%
23°C 11%
BAGO
BAGO
May 18, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
15%
21°C
42%
22°C
28%
23°C
11%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 42%
22°C 28%
20°C 14.8%
23°C 11%
BAGO
BAGO
May 18, 2026
15°C or below
$343 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$805 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$505 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$878 Vol.
1%
19°C
$802 Vol.
2%
20°C
$741 Vol.
15%
21°C
$1,794 Vol.
42%
22°C
$1,032 Vol.
28%
23°C
$1,336 Vol.
11%
24°C
$914 Vol.
1%
25°C or higher
$397 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to a daily maximum near 21–22°C in Cape Town on May 18, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes. This range aligns with typical mid-May conditions shaped by the cool Benguela Current and prevailing southeasterly flow, which limit daytime heating while allowing occasional warmer intrusions from interior air masses. Latest observations show highs of 21.6°C on May 16 and similar values earlier in the week, with no strong warming signal ahead. South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs emphasize modest variability tied to cloud cover and wind shifts, keeping probabilities concentrated around the 21–22°C thresholds rather than extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$9,548Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to a daily maximum near 21–22°C in Cape Town on May 18, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes. This range aligns with typical mid-May conditions shaped by the cool Benguela Current and prevailing southeasterly flow, which limit daytime heating while allowing occasional warmer intrusions from interior air masses. Latest observations show highs of 21.6°C on May 16 and similar values earlier in the week, with no strong warming signal ahead. South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs emphasize modest variability tied to cloud cover and wind shifts, keeping probabilities concentrated around the 21–22°C thresholds rather than extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,548Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTRecent forecast guidance from regional models points to a daily maximum near 21–22°C in Cape Town on May 18, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes. This range aligns with typical mid-May conditions shaped by the cool Benguela Current and prevailing southeasterly flow, which limit daytime heating while allowing occasional warmer intrusions from interior air masses. Latest observations show highs of 21.6°C on May 16 and similar values earlier in the week, with no strong warming signal ahead. South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs emphasize modest variability tied to cloud cover and wind shifts, keeping probabilities concentrated around the 21–22°C thresholds rather than extremes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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