Recent meteorological forecasts for São Paulo indicate a maximum temperature of 22–23°C on May 17, driven by typical autumnal cooling from southerly air masses and light precipitation that limits daytime warming. This aligns closely with the city's May climatology, where average highs reach 22°C amid moderate humidity and variable cloud cover from regional frontal systems. Numerical weather models show limited variability in steering patterns, supporting the market's 53% implied probability on 23°C or higher as the consensus outcome, with lower-temperature bins reflecting only modest downside risks from stronger-than-expected cooling. Resolution will depend on official observations at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 17?
23°C or higher 53%
22°C 23%
20°C 9%
21°C 9%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
9%
21°C
9%
22°C
23%
23°C or higher
53%
23°C or higher 53%
22°C 23%
20°C 9%
21°C 9%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
9%
21°C
9%
22°C
23%
23°C or higher
53%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRRecent meteorological forecasts for São Paulo indicate a maximum temperature of 22–23°C on May 17, driven by typical autumnal cooling from southerly air masses and light precipitation that limits daytime warming. This aligns closely with the city's May climatology, where average highs reach 22°C amid moderate humidity and variable cloud cover from regional frontal systems. Numerical weather models show limited variability in steering patterns, supporting the market's 53% implied probability on 23°C or higher as the consensus outcome, with lower-temperature bins reflecting only modest downside risks from stronger-than-expected cooling. Resolution will depend on official observations at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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