Global seismic monitoring by the USGS shows that magnitude 5.5 and higher earthquakes occur at a background rate of roughly eight to twelve events per week worldwide, driven by ongoing tectonic plate interactions along major fault zones. Recent data from early May 2026 indicate typical activity levels, including several magnitude 5.0–6.7 events concentrated in the Pacific Ring of Fire, without unusual swarms or aftershock sequences that would shift expectations for the May 18–24 window. Market-implied odds favoring six to nine or more events align with this historical variability and climatological baseline, as new model runs or sudden increases in recorded seismicity could alter the final tally before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 18 - May 24?
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 18 - May 24?
>9 35%
6 16%
9 15%
7 15%
BAGO
BAGO
May 24, 2026
≤3
7%
4
11%
5
14%
6
16%
7
15%
8
14%
9
15%
>9
35%
>9 35%
6 16%
9 15%
7 15%
BAGO
BAGO
May 24, 2026
≤3
$728 Vol.
7%
4
$571 Vol.
11%
5
$693 Vol.
14%
6
$637 Vol.
16%
7
$564 Vol.
15%
8
$564 Vol.
14%
9
$558 Vol.
15%
>9
$1,650 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic monitoring by the USGS shows that magnitude 5.5 and higher earthquakes occur at a background rate of roughly eight to twelve events per week worldwide, driven by ongoing tectonic plate interactions along major fault zones. Recent data from early May 2026 indicate typical activity levels, including several magnitude 5.0–6.7 events concentrated in the Pacific Ring of Fire, without unusual swarms or aftershock sequences that would shift expectations for the May 18–24 window. Market-implied odds favoring six to nine or more events align with this historical variability and climatological baseline, as new model runs or sudden increases in recorded seismicity could alter the final tally before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 4:40 PM ET
Volume
$5,966Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 24, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 4:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic monitoring by the USGS shows that magnitude 5.5 and higher earthquakes occur at a background rate of roughly eight to twelve events per week worldwide, driven by ongoing tectonic plate interactions along major fault zones. Recent data from early May 2026 indicate typical activity levels, including several magnitude 5.0–6.7 events concentrated in the Pacific Ring of Fire, without unusual swarms or aftershock sequences that would shift expectations for the May 18–24 window. Market-implied odds favoring six to nine or more events align with this historical variability and climatological baseline, as new model runs or sudden increases in recorded seismicity could alter the final tally before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volume
$5,966Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 24, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 4:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Global seismic monitoring by the USGS shows that magnitude 5.5 and higher earthquakes occur at a background rate of roughly eight to twelve events per week worldwide, driven by ongoing tectonic plate interactions along major fault zones. Recent data from early May 2026 indicate typical activity levels, including several magnitude 5.0–6.7 events concentrated in the Pacific Ring of Fire, without unusual swarms or aftershock sequences that would shift expectations for the May 18–24 window. Market-implied odds favoring six to nine or more events align with this historical variability and climatological baseline, as new model runs or sudden increases in recorded seismicity could alter the final tally before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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