Global seismic monitoring by the USGS indicates steady moderate activity across major tectonic boundaries during May 11–17, with no large aftershock sequences or significant events in high-risk zones such as the Philippines, New Zealand, or Taiwan substantially altering the tally. Historical weekly averages for magnitude 5.5+ quakes worldwide typically range from five to eight, driven by consistent plate-boundary strain release. Trader consensus clustering around six or seven reflects this baseline rate plus minor variability from offshore clusters in the Pacific Ring of Fire, while lower probabilities for extremes account for the low likelihood of sudden intensification or a quiet period through the final hours of the resolution window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?
6 38%
7 30.4%
8 11.0%
9 7.0%
$112,374 Vol.
$112,374 Vol.
May 17, 2026
≤3
1%
4
1%
5
1%
6
31%
7
30%
8
15%
9
7%
>9
4%
6 38%
7 30.4%
8 11.0%
9 7.0%
$112,374 Vol.
$112,374 Vol.
May 17, 2026
≤3
$49,328 Vol.
1%
4
$19,210 Vol.
1%
5
$17,774 Vol.
1%
6
$1,415 Vol.
31%
7
$1,401 Vol.
30%
8
$3,965 Vol.
15%
9
$3,599 Vol.
7%
>9
$15,681 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic monitoring by the USGS indicates steady moderate activity across major tectonic boundaries during May 11–17, with no large aftershock sequences or significant events in high-risk zones such as the Philippines, New Zealand, or Taiwan substantially altering the tally. Historical weekly averages for magnitude 5.5+ quakes worldwide typically range from five to eight, driven by consistent plate-boundary strain release. Trader consensus clustering around six or seven reflects this baseline rate plus minor variability from offshore clusters in the Pacific Ring of Fire, while lower probabilities for extremes account for the low likelihood of sudden intensification or a quiet period through the final hours of the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Binuksan ang Market: May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$112,374Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic monitoring by the USGS indicates steady moderate activity across major tectonic boundaries during May 11–17, with no large aftershock sequences or significant events in high-risk zones such as the Philippines, New Zealand, or Taiwan substantially altering the tally. Historical weekly averages for magnitude 5.5+ quakes worldwide typically range from five to eight, driven by consistent plate-boundary strain release. Trader consensus clustering around six or seven reflects this baseline rate plus minor variability from offshore clusters in the Pacific Ring of Fire, while lower probabilities for extremes account for the low likelihood of sudden intensification or a quiet period through the final hours of the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volume
$112,374Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Global seismic monitoring by the USGS indicates steady moderate activity across major tectonic boundaries during May 11–17, with no large aftershock sequences or significant events in high-risk zones such as the Philippines, New Zealand, or Taiwan substantially altering the tally. Historical weekly averages for magnitude 5.5+ quakes worldwide typically range from five to eight, driven by consistent plate-boundary strain release. Trader consensus clustering around six or seven reflects this baseline rate plus minor variability from offshore clusters in the Pacific Ring of Fire, while lower probabilities for extremes account for the low likelihood of sudden intensification or a quiet period through the final hours of the resolution window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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