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icon for Ang paglapag ng buwan ng tao sa 2026?
Teknolohiya·Kalinangan

Ang paglapag ng buwan ng tao sa 2026?

icon for Ang paglapag ng buwan ng tao sa 2026?
Teknolohiya·Kalinangan

Ang paglapag ng buwan ng tao sa 2026?

Oo

<1% tsansa
Polymarket

$1,967,148 Vol.

Oo

<1% tsansa
Polymarket

$1,967,148 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.NASA's Artemis program has shifted the first crewed lunar landing to 2028 via Artemis IV after repurposing Artemis III as a 2027 low Earth orbit demonstration. Artemis II completed its successful crewed Orion flyby in April 2026 without any surface operations. The SpaceX Starship human landing system remains unready, with in-orbit refueling unproven and limited progress reported by oversight bodies. No other government or commercial program has demonstrated the necessary hardware, timelines, or regulatory approvals for a 2026 landing. With only months remaining in the year, these development gaps and schedule realities underpin the 99.2% market-implied odds against. Unexpected breakthroughs in private lander testing or international coordination could theoretically intervene but face steep technical and logistical barriers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,967,148
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 7, 2026, 4:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.NASA's Artemis program has shifted the first crewed lunar landing to 2028 via Artemis IV after repurposing Artemis III as a 2027 low Earth orbit demonstration. Artemis II completed its successful crewed Orion flyby in April 2026 without any surface operations. The SpaceX Starship human landing system remains unready, with in-orbit refueling unproven and limited progress reported by oversight bodies. No other government or commercial program has demonstrated the necessary hardware, timelines, or regulatory approvals for a 2026 landing. With only months remaining in the year, these development gaps and schedule realities underpin the 99.2% market-implied odds against. Unexpected breakthroughs in private lander testing or international coordination could theoretically intervene but face steep technical and logistical barriers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,967,148
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 7, 2026, 4:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Ang paglapag ng buwan ng tao sa 2026?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 2 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Pagtapak ng tao sa buwan sa 2026?" sa 1%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 1¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 1% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Ang paglapag ng buwan ng tao sa 2026?" ay naka-generate ng $2 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jan 7, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Ang paglapag ng buwan ng tao sa 2026?," i-browse ang 2 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Isa itong wide-open market. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna para sa "Ang paglapag ng buwan ng tao sa 2026?" ay "Pagtapak ng tao sa buwan sa 2026?" sa 1% lang. Walang outcome na may malakas na mayorya, kaya nakikita ito ng mga trader bilang highly uncertain, na maaaring magbigay ng mga kakaibang trading opportunity. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time, kaya i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para panoorin kung paano nag-e-evolve ang probabilities.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Ang paglapag ng buwan ng tao sa 2026?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.