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icon for Ang paglapag ng buwan ng tao sa 2026?
Teknolohiya·Kalinangan

Ang paglapag ng buwan ng tao sa 2026?

icon for Ang paglapag ng buwan ng tao sa 2026?
Teknolohiya·Kalinangan

Ang paglapag ng buwan ng tao sa 2026?

Oo

3% tsansa
Polymarket

$1,915,472 Vol.

Oo

3% tsansa
Polymarket

$1,915,472 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 97% "No" for a human moon landing in 2026, driven by NASA's April 2026 announcement revising the Artemis program: Artemis III now targets late 2027 for low-Earth orbit testing of SpaceX's Starship Human Landing System (HLS) and Blue Origin's Blue Moon lander, deferring surface operations to 2028 amid persistent delays from unproven orbital refueling, thermal protection challenges, and lander maturation. China's crewed lunar ambitions remain fixed on 2030, with no accelerated timeline. With half of 2026 elapsed and no viable missions on pad, historical Artemis slips reinforce skepticism. Realistic shifts could stem from surprise Starship flight successes enabling a private or bilateral landing, though regulatory hurdles and safety validations make this improbable absent breakthroughs.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,915,472
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 7, 2026, 4:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 97% "No" for a human moon landing in 2026, driven by NASA's April 2026 announcement revising the Artemis program: Artemis III now targets late 2027 for low-Earth orbit testing of SpaceX's Starship Human Landing System (HLS) and Blue Origin's Blue Moon lander, deferring surface operations to 2028 amid persistent delays from unproven orbital refueling, thermal protection challenges, and lander maturation. China's crewed lunar ambitions remain fixed on 2030, with no accelerated timeline. With half of 2026 elapsed and no viable missions on pad, historical Artemis slips reinforce skepticism. Realistic shifts could stem from surprise Starship flight successes enabling a private or bilateral landing, though regulatory hurdles and safety validations make this improbable absent breakthroughs.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,915,472
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 7, 2026, 4:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Ang paglapag ng buwan ng tao sa 2026?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 2 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Pagtapak ng tao sa buwan sa 2026?" sa 3%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 3¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 3% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Ang paglapag ng buwan ng tao sa 2026?" ay naka-generate ng $1.9 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jan 7, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Ang paglapag ng buwan ng tao sa 2026?," i-browse ang 2 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Isa itong wide-open market. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna para sa "Ang paglapag ng buwan ng tao sa 2026?" ay "Pagtapak ng tao sa buwan sa 2026?" sa 3% lang. Walang outcome na may malakas na mayorya, kaya nakikita ito ng mga trader bilang highly uncertain, na maaaring magbigay ng mga kakaibang trading opportunity. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time, kaya i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para panoorin kung paano nag-e-evolve ang probabilities.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Ang paglapag ng buwan ng tao sa 2026?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.