Recent USGS monitoring shows no magnitude 6.5 or larger events in the days leading into the May 18–24 window, consistent with a relatively quiet period after scattered 5.0–5.7 quakes in the Pacific and western U.S. regions. Globally, M6.5+ earthquakes occur at an average rate of roughly one to two per week, driven by ongoing tectonic strain along major subduction zones and transform boundaries. With no active foreshock sequences or unusual seismic swarms reported by the USGS, traders have placed the highest implied probability on zero or one such event, reflecting both the modest baseline frequency and the inherent short-term unpredictability of rupture timing on individual faults.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHow many 6.5 or above earthquakes May 18 - May 24?
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes May 18 - May 24?
0 52%
1 36%
2 12%
3 3.1%
BAGO
BAGO
May 24, 2026
0
52%
1
36%
2
12%
3
3%
4
3%
5
1%
>5
<1%
0 52%
1 36%
2 12%
3 3.1%
BAGO
BAGO
May 24, 2026
0
$188 Vol.
52%
1
$88 Vol.
36%
2
$68 Vol.
12%
3
$246 Vol.
3%
4
$65 Vol.
3%
5
$103 Vol.
1%
>5
$243 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent USGS monitoring shows no magnitude 6.5 or larger events in the days leading into the May 18–24 window, consistent with a relatively quiet period after scattered 5.0–5.7 quakes in the Pacific and western U.S. regions. Globally, M6.5+ earthquakes occur at an average rate of roughly one to two per week, driven by ongoing tectonic strain along major subduction zones and transform boundaries. With no active foreshock sequences or unusual seismic swarms reported by the USGS, traders have placed the highest implied probability on zero or one such event, reflecting both the modest baseline frequency and the inherent short-term unpredictability of rupture timing on individual faults.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Volume
$1,000Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 24, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent USGS monitoring shows no magnitude 6.5 or larger events in the days leading into the May 18–24 window, consistent with a relatively quiet period after scattered 5.0–5.7 quakes in the Pacific and western U.S. regions. Globally, M6.5+ earthquakes occur at an average rate of roughly one to two per week, driven by ongoing tectonic strain along major subduction zones and transform boundaries. With no active foreshock sequences or unusual seismic swarms reported by the USGS, traders have placed the highest implied probability on zero or one such event, reflecting both the modest baseline frequency and the inherent short-term unpredictability of rupture timing on individual faults.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volume
$1,000Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 24, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent USGS monitoring shows no magnitude 6.5 or larger events in the days leading into the May 18–24 window, consistent with a relatively quiet period after scattered 5.0–5.7 quakes in the Pacific and western U.S. regions. Globally, M6.5+ earthquakes occur at an average rate of roughly one to two per week, driven by ongoing tectonic strain along major subduction zones and transform boundaries. With no active foreshock sequences or unusual seismic swarms reported by the USGS, traders have placed the highest implied probability on zero or one such event, reflecting both the modest baseline frequency and the inherent short-term unpredictability of rupture timing on individual faults.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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