National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble means from the GFS and ECMWF place New York City’s official high near 77°F on May 16, measured at LaGuardia Airport, which explains why the 76–77°F and 78–79°F buckets command the strongest market-implied odds. Modest afternoon warming under building high pressure, combined with the urban heat-island effect that can add 1–2°F to the central city reading, creates the narrow spread between these two outcomes. Spring climatology shows typical May highs around 74–76°F, but today’s clear skies and light winds favor a peak in the upper 70s. Traders are watching the final afternoon model updates and station observations, as even a one-degree revision can shift resolution between the closely priced bins.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in NYC on May 16?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 16?
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 36%
74-75°F 19%
80-81°F 4.7%
$49,819 Vol.
$49,819 Vol.
May 16, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 36%
74-75°F 19%
80-81°F 4.7%
$49,819 Vol.
$49,819 Vol.
May 16, 2026
65°F or below
$2,673 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$3,024 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$3,410 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$3,207 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$7,270 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$7,079 Vol.
19%
76-77°F
$4,552 Vol.
40%
78-79°F
$4,349 Vol.
36%
80-81°F
$5,538 Vol.
5%
82-83°F
$4,992 Vol.
1%
84°F or higher
$4,136 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble means from the GFS and ECMWF place New York City’s official high near 77°F on May 16, measured at LaGuardia Airport, which explains why the 76–77°F and 78–79°F buckets command the strongest market-implied odds. Modest afternoon warming under building high pressure, combined with the urban heat-island effect that can add 1–2°F to the central city reading, creates the narrow spread between these two outcomes. Spring climatology shows typical May highs around 74–76°F, but today’s clear skies and light winds favor a peak in the upper 70s. Traders are watching the final afternoon model updates and station observations, as even a one-degree revision can shift resolution between the closely priced bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$49,819Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble means from the GFS and ECMWF place New York City’s official high near 77°F on May 16, measured at LaGuardia Airport, which explains why the 76–77°F and 78–79°F buckets command the strongest market-implied odds. Modest afternoon warming under building high pressure, combined with the urban heat-island effect that can add 1–2°F to the central city reading, creates the narrow spread between these two outcomes. Spring climatology shows typical May highs around 74–76°F, but today’s clear skies and light winds favor a peak in the upper 70s. Traders are watching the final afternoon model updates and station observations, as even a one-degree revision can shift resolution between the closely priced bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$49,819Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble means from the GFS and ECMWF place New York City’s official high near 77°F on May 16, measured at LaGuardia Airport, which explains why the 76–77°F and 78–79°F buckets command the strongest market-implied odds. Modest afternoon warming under building high pressure, combined with the urban heat-island effect that can add 1–2°F to the central city reading, creates the narrow spread between these two outcomes. Spring climatology shows typical May highs around 74–76°F, but today’s clear skies and light winds favor a peak in the upper 70s. Traders are watching the final afternoon model updates and station observations, as even a one-degree revision can shift resolution between the closely priced bins.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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