Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate Tokyo’s daily maximum temperature will reach exactly 25 °C today, driving the market’s near-certain positioning on that outcome. Mid-May climatology at the Otemachi station shows typical highs of 22–24 °C, and current stable high-pressure conditions with light southerly flow align closely with model guidance to keep readings within this narrow band. Minor forecast revisions or localized urban heat-island effects could still alter the official whole-degree maximum recorded by day’s end, though resolution depends strictly on the verified JMA observation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$116,385 Vol.
$116,385 Vol.
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$116,385 Vol.
$116,385 Vol.
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate Tokyo’s daily maximum temperature will reach exactly 25 °C today, driving the market’s near-certain positioning on that outcome. Mid-May climatology at the Otemachi station shows typical highs of 22–24 °C, and current stable high-pressure conditions with light southerly flow align closely with model guidance to keep readings within this narrow band. Minor forecast revisions or localized urban heat-island effects could still alter the official whole-degree maximum recorded by day’s end, though resolution depends strictly on the verified JMA observation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong