Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 29–31°C outcomes for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 16, reflecting latest AccuWeather forecasts of 28–29°C amid persistent high humidity near 80% and cloudy skies with 90% precipitation odds from morning thunderstorms and afternoon showers. Elevated trader-implied odds for 30–31°C stem from uncertainty in diurnal boundary layer heating and potential brief sun breaks, which boosted the May 11 peak to 31°C despite similar moist conditions; light easterly winds at 9 km/h offer limited ventilation to cap peaks lower. Recent China Meteorological Administration observations—26°C on May 13, 28°C on May 14—underscore convective suppression, with hourly station data tomorrow clarifying resolution per official methodology. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF updates expected overnight could shift sentiment further.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 16?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 16?
30°C 29%
29°C 26%
31°C 25%
32°C 15%
BAGO
BAGO
May 16, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
26%
30°C
29%
31°C
25%
32°C
15%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 29%
29°C 26%
31°C 25%
32°C 15%
BAGO
BAGO
May 16, 2026
26°C or below
$1,238 Vol.
1%
27°C
$311 Vol.
3%
28°C
$396 Vol.
6%
29°C
$339 Vol.
26%
30°C
$397 Vol.
29%
31°C
$464 Vol.
25%
32°C
$566 Vol.
15%
33°C
$359 Vol.
1%
34°C
$347 Vol.
1%
35°C
$311 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$131 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 29–31°C outcomes for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 16, reflecting latest AccuWeather forecasts of 28–29°C amid persistent high humidity near 80% and cloudy skies with 90% precipitation odds from morning thunderstorms and afternoon showers. Elevated trader-implied odds for 30–31°C stem from uncertainty in diurnal boundary layer heating and potential brief sun breaks, which boosted the May 11 peak to 31°C despite similar moist conditions; light easterly winds at 9 km/h offer limited ventilation to cap peaks lower. Recent China Meteorological Administration observations—26°C on May 13, 28°C on May 14—underscore convective suppression, with hourly station data tomorrow clarifying resolution per official methodology. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF updates expected overnight could shift sentiment further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 14, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
Volume
$4,860Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 12:48 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 29–31°C outcomes for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 16, reflecting latest AccuWeather forecasts of 28–29°C amid persistent high humidity near 80% and cloudy skies with 90% precipitation odds from morning thunderstorms and afternoon showers. Elevated trader-implied odds for 30–31°C stem from uncertainty in diurnal boundary layer heating and potential brief sun breaks, which boosted the May 11 peak to 31°C despite similar moist conditions; light easterly winds at 9 km/h offer limited ventilation to cap peaks lower. Recent China Meteorological Administration observations—26°C on May 13, 28°C on May 14—underscore convective suppression, with hourly station data tomorrow clarifying resolution per official methodology. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF updates expected overnight could shift sentiment further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,860Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 12:48 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 29–31°C outcomes for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 16, reflecting latest AccuWeather forecasts of 28–29°C amid persistent high humidity near 80% and cloudy skies with 90% precipitation odds from morning thunderstorms and afternoon showers. Elevated trader-implied odds for 30–31°C stem from uncertainty in diurnal boundary layer heating and potential brief sun breaks, which boosted the May 11 peak to 31°C despite similar moist conditions; light easterly winds at 9 km/h offer limited ventilation to cap peaks lower. Recent China Meteorological Administration observations—26°C on May 13, 28°C on May 14—underscore convective suppression, with hourly station data tomorrow clarifying resolution per official methodology. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF updates expected overnight could shift sentiment further.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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