India Meteorological Department forecasts position Lucknow's maximum temperature at 40°C on May 16 under clear skies and light winds, with no heatwave warnings issued, anchoring the 98.8% market-implied probability for 41°C or below. This aligns with recent observations—39.0°C on May 15 and 37.9°C the prior day—below the typical mid-May climatological average of 39–42°C and the IMD plains heatwave threshold of 40°C plus a 4.5°C departure. Regional moisture and subdued atmospheric heating continue to moderate extremes across central Uttar Pradesh. Resolution depends on the official IMD observatory daily maximum reading, already approaching its afternoon peak. An unexpected intensification from stronger northerlies or a model shift could push readings higher, though current guidance shows low risk of crossing 41°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 16?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 16?
41°C or below 98.8%
42°C 2.0%
46°C <1%
44°C <1%
$19,983 Vol.
$19,983 Vol.
May 16, 2026
41°C or below
99%
42°C
2%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 98.8%
42°C 2.0%
46°C <1%
44°C <1%
$19,983 Vol.
$19,983 Vol.
May 16, 2026
41°C or below
$2,797 Vol.
99%
42°C
$2,071 Vol.
2%
43°C
$2,514 Vol.
<1%
44°C
$1,184 Vol.
<1%
45°C
$2,636 Vol.
<1%
46°C
$3,075 Vol.
<1%
47°C
$757 Vol.
<1%
48°C
$935 Vol.
<1%
49°C
$1,813 Vol.
<1%
50°C
$776 Vol.
<1%
51°C or higher
$1,424 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department forecasts position Lucknow's maximum temperature at 40°C on May 16 under clear skies and light winds, with no heatwave warnings issued, anchoring the 98.8% market-implied probability for 41°C or below. This aligns with recent observations—39.0°C on May 15 and 37.9°C the prior day—below the typical mid-May climatological average of 39–42°C and the IMD plains heatwave threshold of 40°C plus a 4.5°C departure. Regional moisture and subdued atmospheric heating continue to moderate extremes across central Uttar Pradesh. Resolution depends on the official IMD observatory daily maximum reading, already approaching its afternoon peak. An unexpected intensification from stronger northerlies or a model shift could push readings higher, though current guidance shows low risk of crossing 41°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volume
$19,983Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department forecasts position Lucknow's maximum temperature at 40°C on May 16 under clear skies and light winds, with no heatwave warnings issued, anchoring the 98.8% market-implied probability for 41°C or below. This aligns with recent observations—39.0°C on May 15 and 37.9°C the prior day—below the typical mid-May climatological average of 39–42°C and the IMD plains heatwave threshold of 40°C plus a 4.5°C departure. Regional moisture and subdued atmospheric heating continue to moderate extremes across central Uttar Pradesh. Resolution depends on the official IMD observatory daily maximum reading, already approaching its afternoon peak. An unexpected intensification from stronger northerlies or a model shift could push readings higher, though current guidance shows low risk of crossing 41°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$19,983Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department forecasts position Lucknow's maximum temperature at 40°C on May 16 under clear skies and light winds, with no heatwave warnings issued, anchoring the 98.8% market-implied probability for 41°C or below. This aligns with recent observations—39.0°C on May 15 and 37.9°C the prior day—below the typical mid-May climatological average of 39–42°C and the IMD plains heatwave threshold of 40°C plus a 4.5°C departure. Regional moisture and subdued atmospheric heating continue to moderate extremes across central Uttar Pradesh. Resolution depends on the official IMD observatory daily maximum reading, already approaching its afternoon peak. An unexpected intensification from stronger northerlies or a model shift could push readings higher, though current guidance shows low risk of crossing 41°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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