Persistent northerly airflow across the British Isles has kept London's daytime maximum anchored near 15 °C on May 16, 2026, well below the mid-May climatological average of 17–18 °C. Latest Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ensemble runs show tight clustering around this value, with increased cloud cover and light winds limiting solar heating. The resulting market-implied odds of 99.4 % for exactly 15 °C reflect strong model consensus on the suppressed thermal profile. A modest increase to 16 °C would require unexpected breaks of sunshine or a slight backing of the wind, while any further cooling from additional cloud or showers could keep the reading at or below the current forecast.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in London on May 16?
Highest temperature in London on May 16?
15°C 99.4%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$169,056 Vol.
$169,056 Vol.
May 16, 2026
15°C
99%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 99.4%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$169,056 Vol.
$169,056 Vol.
May 16, 2026
15°C
$22,881 Vol.
99%
16°C
$22,459 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$13,766 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$9,756 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,714 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$5,794 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent northerly airflow across the British Isles has kept London's daytime maximum anchored near 15 °C on May 16, 2026, well below the mid-May climatological average of 17–18 °C. Latest Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ensemble runs show tight clustering around this value, with increased cloud cover and light winds limiting solar heating. The resulting market-implied odds of 99.4 % for exactly 15 °C reflect strong model consensus on the suppressed thermal profile. A modest increase to 16 °C would require unexpected breaks of sunshine or a slight backing of the wind, while any further cooling from additional cloud or showers could keep the reading at or below the current forecast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$169,056Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent northerly airflow across the British Isles has kept London's daytime maximum anchored near 15 °C on May 16, 2026, well below the mid-May climatological average of 17–18 °C. Latest Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ensemble runs show tight clustering around this value, with increased cloud cover and light winds limiting solar heating. The resulting market-implied odds of 99.4 % for exactly 15 °C reflect strong model consensus on the suppressed thermal profile. A modest increase to 16 °C would require unexpected breaks of sunshine or a slight backing of the wind, while any further cooling from additional cloud or showers could keep the reading at or below the current forecast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$169,056Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent northerly airflow across the British Isles has kept London's daytime maximum anchored near 15 °C on May 16, 2026, well below the mid-May climatological average of 17–18 °C. Latest Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ensemble runs show tight clustering around this value, with increased cloud cover and light winds limiting solar heating. The resulting market-implied odds of 99.4 % for exactly 15 °C reflect strong model consensus on the suppressed thermal profile. A modest increase to 16 °C would require unexpected breaks of sunshine or a slight backing of the wind, while any further cooling from additional cloud or showers could keep the reading at or below the current forecast.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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