Latest numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS ensembles indicate a daytime high near 20–21°C in Madrid on May 16, driven by a transitional high-pressure ridge under springtime insolation with limited moisture advection from the Atlantic. Ensemble spreads remain tight, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects around the city’s measuring stations. Historical May climatology places typical maxima near 22°C, so the current consensus implies slightly cooler-than-average advection. Final resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour maximum reported by Spain’s AEMET network tomorrow evening, with any late-afternoon convective development or wind shift the principal variable that could shift the outcome between the tightly matched 20°C and 21°C contracts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Madrid on May 16?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 16?
21°C 38%
20°C 32%
22°C 20%
19°C 8%
BAGO
$17,195 Vol.
BAGO
$17,195 Vol.
May 16, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
8%
20°C
32%
21°C
38%
22°C
20%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 38%
20°C 32%
22°C 20%
19°C 8%
BAGO
$17,195 Vol.
BAGO
$17,195 Vol.
May 16, 2026
15°C or below
$3,259 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$844 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,532 Vol.
1%
18°C
$2,454 Vol.
2%
19°C
$1,472 Vol.
8%
20°C
$1,404 Vol.
32%
21°C
$1,428 Vol.
38%
22°C
$888 Vol.
20%
23°C
$801 Vol.
3%
24°C
$874 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$1,266 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS ensembles indicate a daytime high near 20–21°C in Madrid on May 16, driven by a transitional high-pressure ridge under springtime insolation with limited moisture advection from the Atlantic. Ensemble spreads remain tight, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects around the city’s measuring stations. Historical May climatology places typical maxima near 22°C, so the current consensus implies slightly cooler-than-average advection. Final resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour maximum reported by Spain’s AEMET network tomorrow evening, with any late-afternoon convective development or wind shift the principal variable that could shift the outcome between the tightly matched 20°C and 21°C contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$17,195Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS ensembles indicate a daytime high near 20–21°C in Madrid on May 16, driven by a transitional high-pressure ridge under springtime insolation with limited moisture advection from the Atlantic. Ensemble spreads remain tight, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects around the city’s measuring stations. Historical May climatology places typical maxima near 22°C, so the current consensus implies slightly cooler-than-average advection. Final resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour maximum reported by Spain’s AEMET network tomorrow evening, with any late-afternoon convective development or wind shift the principal variable that could shift the outcome between the tightly matched 20°C and 21°C contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$17,195Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS ensembles indicate a daytime high near 20–21°C in Madrid on May 16, driven by a transitional high-pressure ridge under springtime insolation with limited moisture advection from the Atlantic. Ensemble spreads remain tight, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects around the city’s measuring stations. Historical May climatology places typical maxima near 22°C, so the current consensus implies slightly cooler-than-average advection. Final resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour maximum reported by Spain’s AEMET network tomorrow evening, with any late-afternoon convective development or wind shift the principal variable that could shift the outcome between the tightly matched 20°C and 21°C contracts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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