Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the UK Met Office's latest forecast update from this morning (May 14), projecting a daytime high of 14°C at London Heathrow amid cool, breezy conditions with variable cloud, sunny spells, and scattered showers—40% rain chance midday. The near-tie between 13°C (33%) and 14°C (29%) stems from uncertainty in cloud cover and shower timing, which could limit solar heating to cap peaks at 13°C or allow brief insolation pushes toward 14-15°C under partial clearing. A northerly airflow and lingering low-pressure trough maintain temperatures well below May climatological averages of 17°C, with GFS and ECMWF models clustering tightly in the 12-15°C range. Monitor the afternoon forecast refresh for potential shifts before resolution on official Heathrow observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in London on May 15?
Highest temperature in London on May 15?
13°C 34%
14°C 29%
12°C 20%
15°C 15%
$25,503 Vol.
$25,503 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
20%
13°C
34%
14°C
29%
15°C
15%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 34%
14°C 29%
12°C 20%
15°C 15%
$25,503 Vol.
$25,503 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
20%
13°C
34%
14°C
29%
15°C
15%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the UK Met Office's latest forecast update from this morning (May 14), projecting a daytime high of 14°C at London Heathrow amid cool, breezy conditions with variable cloud, sunny spells, and scattered showers—40% rain chance midday. The near-tie between 13°C (33%) and 14°C (29%) stems from uncertainty in cloud cover and shower timing, which could limit solar heating to cap peaks at 13°C or allow brief insolation pushes toward 14-15°C under partial clearing. A northerly airflow and lingering low-pressure trough maintain temperatures well below May climatological averages of 17°C, with GFS and ECMWF models clustering tightly in the 12-15°C range. Monitor the afternoon forecast refresh for potential shifts before resolution on official Heathrow observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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