Recent forecast consensus from major models such as ECMWF and GFS, reinforced by National Center for Meteorology guidance, shows persistent high pressure and strong solar insolation over the Red Sea coastal plain driving Jeddah’s daytime peak to 39–41°C on May 16. This aligns with the city’s May climatology, where historical maxima frequently reach the upper 30s amid light northwesterly winds that limit sea-breeze moderation. The market’s 100% implied probability for 39°C or higher reflects this tight model agreement and the absence of cooling factors like significant cloud cover or stronger onshore flow. Minor downward revisions remain possible if afternoon convection develops earlier than expected, though current ensemble spreads place such outcomes well below 1%.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 16?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 16?
39°C or higher 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$24,543 Vol.
$24,543 Vol.
May 16, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
Yes
39°C or higher 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$24,543 Vol.
$24,543 Vol.
May 16, 2026
29°C or below
$922 Vol.
No
30°C
$981 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,821 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,015 Vol.
No
33°C
$3,681 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,987 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,538 Vol.
No
36°C
$1,844 Vol.
No
37°C
$2,554 Vol.
No
38°C
$3,155 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$3,047 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast consensus from major models such as ECMWF and GFS, reinforced by National Center for Meteorology guidance, shows persistent high pressure and strong solar insolation over the Red Sea coastal plain driving Jeddah’s daytime peak to 39–41°C on May 16. This aligns with the city’s May climatology, where historical maxima frequently reach the upper 30s amid light northwesterly winds that limit sea-breeze moderation. The market’s 100% implied probability for 39°C or higher reflects this tight model agreement and the absence of cooling factors like significant cloud cover or stronger onshore flow. Minor downward revisions remain possible if afternoon convection develops earlier than expected, though current ensemble spreads place such outcomes well below 1%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 14, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Volume
$24,543Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast consensus from major models such as ECMWF and GFS, reinforced by National Center for Meteorology guidance, shows persistent high pressure and strong solar insolation over the Red Sea coastal plain driving Jeddah’s daytime peak to 39–41°C on May 16. This aligns with the city’s May climatology, where historical maxima frequently reach the upper 30s amid light northwesterly winds that limit sea-breeze moderation. The market’s 100% implied probability for 39°C or higher reflects this tight model agreement and the absence of cooling factors like significant cloud cover or stronger onshore flow. Minor downward revisions remain possible if afternoon convection develops earlier than expected, though current ensemble spreads place such outcomes well below 1%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,543Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Recent forecast consensus from major models such as ECMWF and GFS, reinforced by National Center for Meteorology guidance, shows persistent high pressure and strong solar insolation over the Red Sea coastal plain driving Jeddah’s daytime peak to 39–41°C on May 16. This aligns with the city’s May climatology, where historical maxima frequently reach the upper 30s amid light northwesterly winds that limit sea-breeze moderation. The market’s 100% implied probability for 39°C or higher reflects this tight model agreement and the absence of cooling factors like significant cloud cover or stronger onshore flow. Minor downward revisions remain possible if afternoon convection develops earlier than expected, though current ensemble spreads place such outcomes well below 1%.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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