Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts showing a mid-50s high temperature for Seattle on May 16, driven by persistent onshore flow ushering cool marine air and widespread stratus clouds, capping daytime heating after early May's record heat wave dissipated around May 5. The tight clustering around 54-55°F (29%) versus 56-57°F (24%) stems from model discrepancies—GFS slightly warmer with partial clearing potential, ECMWF cooler amid 80%+ shower odds—highlighting uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and precip timing. Below-normal temps (historical May average ~63°F at Seattle-Tacoma Airport) align with an upper trough pattern; watch 12z model runs and NWS updates Friday for refinements ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Seattle on May 16?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 16?
54-55°F 30%
56-57°F 25%
52-53°F 20%
58-59°F 11%
$12,181 Vol.
$12,181 Vol.
47°F or below
1%
48-49°F
2%
50-51°F
8%
52-53°F
20%
54-55°F
30%
56-57°F
25%
58-59°F
11%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F or higher
<1%
54-55°F 30%
56-57°F 25%
52-53°F 20%
58-59°F 11%
$12,181 Vol.
$12,181 Vol.
47°F or below
1%
48-49°F
2%
50-51°F
8%
52-53°F
20%
54-55°F
30%
56-57°F
25%
58-59°F
11%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts showing a mid-50s high temperature for Seattle on May 16, driven by persistent onshore flow ushering cool marine air and widespread stratus clouds, capping daytime heating after early May's record heat wave dissipated around May 5. The tight clustering around 54-55°F (29%) versus 56-57°F (24%) stems from model discrepancies—GFS slightly warmer with partial clearing potential, ECMWF cooler amid 80%+ shower odds—highlighting uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and precip timing. Below-normal temps (historical May average ~63°F at Seattle-Tacoma Airport) align with an upper trough pattern; watch 12z model runs and NWS updates Friday for refinements ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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