National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on May 15 project a high temperature near 52-55°F under mostly cloudy skies with a chance of showers, driving the 97% market-implied probability for 57°F or below as traders price in strong model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. This positioning stems from a recent cool-down after early May's record heat, with persistent marine stratus, cool air advection from the Pacific, and a weak upper-level trough suppressing warming—conditions well below the historical May 15 average high of around 65°F. Ensemble spreads show limited upside risk, though unexpected clearing of low clouds or a model forecast bust could challenge this, with the next NWS update expected Thursday evening providing further clarity on boundary layer stability.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Seattle on May 15?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 15?
57°F or below 97.0%
58-59°F 2.6%
60-61°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
BAGO
$22,795 Vol.
BAGO
$22,795 Vol.
May 15, 2026
57°F or below
97%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
57°F or below 97.0%
58-59°F 2.6%
60-61°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
BAGO
$22,795 Vol.
BAGO
$22,795 Vol.
May 15, 2026
57°F or below
$2,787 Vol.
97%
58-59°F
$3,834 Vol.
3%
60-61°F
$3,748 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$1,546 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,422 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$2,033 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$2,143 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,382 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,509 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,499 Vol.
<1%
76°F or higher
$891 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on May 15 project a high temperature near 52-55°F under mostly cloudy skies with a chance of showers, driving the 97% market-implied probability for 57°F or below as traders price in strong model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. This positioning stems from a recent cool-down after early May's record heat, with persistent marine stratus, cool air advection from the Pacific, and a weak upper-level trough suppressing warming—conditions well below the historical May 15 average high of around 65°F. Ensemble spreads show limited upside risk, though unexpected clearing of low clouds or a model forecast bust could challenge this, with the next NWS update expected Thursday evening providing further clarity on boundary layer stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$22,795Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on May 15 project a high temperature near 52-55°F under mostly cloudy skies with a chance of showers, driving the 97% market-implied probability for 57°F or below as traders price in strong model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. This positioning stems from a recent cool-down after early May's record heat, with persistent marine stratus, cool air advection from the Pacific, and a weak upper-level trough suppressing warming—conditions well below the historical May 15 average high of around 65°F. Ensemble spreads show limited upside risk, though unexpected clearing of low clouds or a model forecast bust could challenge this, with the next NWS update expected Thursday evening providing further clarity on boundary layer stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$22,795Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on May 15 project a high temperature near 52-55°F under mostly cloudy skies with a chance of showers, driving the 97% market-implied probability for 57°F or below as traders price in strong model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. This positioning stems from a recent cool-down after early May's record heat, with persistent marine stratus, cool air advection from the Pacific, and a weak upper-level trough suppressing warming—conditions well below the historical May 15 average high of around 65°F. Ensemble spreads show limited upside risk, though unexpected clearing of low clouds or a model forecast bust could challenge this, with the next NWS update expected Thursday evening providing further clarity on boundary layer stability.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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