Latest guidance from major forecast models, including those reflected in Accuweather and international ensembles, positions Paris's highest temperature today at around 11°C with 79.5% market-implied probability, due to persistent mostly cloudy skies, morning showers, and thundershowers under a yellow warning that suppress diurnal heating. A cool maritime air mass from the Atlantic, combined with moderate westerly winds, has limited solar insolation and surface warming, keeping peaks below the May climatological average of 19°C. Morning observations confirmed subdued early highs around 10°C, prompting traders to adjust odds downward from prior 12°C favoritism; remaining hours feature ongoing precipitation risks, though brief clearing could nudge toward 12°C (22.5%). Official Météo-France measurements at central stations will resolve the market by midnight.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Paris on May 14?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 14?
11°C 63.1%
12°C 34%
13°C 1.2%
15°C <1%
$100,386 Vol.
$100,386 Vol.
11°C
63%
12°C
34%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 63.1%
12°C 34%
13°C 1.2%
15°C <1%
$100,386 Vol.
$100,386 Vol.
11°C
63%
12°C
34%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest guidance from major forecast models, including those reflected in Accuweather and international ensembles, positions Paris's highest temperature today at around 11°C with 79.5% market-implied probability, due to persistent mostly cloudy skies, morning showers, and thundershowers under a yellow warning that suppress diurnal heating. A cool maritime air mass from the Atlantic, combined with moderate westerly winds, has limited solar insolation and surface warming, keeping peaks below the May climatological average of 19°C. Morning observations confirmed subdued early highs around 10°C, prompting traders to adjust odds downward from prior 12°C favoritism; remaining hours feature ongoing precipitation risks, though brief clearing could nudge toward 12°C (22.5%). Official Météo-France measurements at central stations will resolve the market by midnight.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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