Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Chengdu's highest temperature today, with market-implied odds clustered around 24-27°C amid persistent overcast skies characteristic of the Sichuan Basin's spring meteorology. Latest guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, alongside GFS and ECMWF models, converges on midday peaks near 26-28°C, but extensive low-level stratus clouds are limiting solar insolation and suppressing boundary-layer heating from a mild morning start near 22°C. Historical May climatology shows average highs of 25-27°C, often moderated by basin-trapped fog and clouds; subtle differences hinge on afternoon cloud breaks or persistence, with hourly observations from official stations like Shuangliu Airport providing resolution by evening.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 14?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 14?
25°C 28.4%
26°C 21%
27°C 21%
24°C 16.0%
BAGO
$32,884 Vol.
BAGO
$32,884 Vol.
May 14, 2026
23°C or below
4%
24°C
16%
25°C
28%
26°C
21%
27°C
21%
28°C
12%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
25°C 28.4%
26°C 21%
27°C 21%
24°C 16.0%
BAGO
$32,884 Vol.
BAGO
$32,884 Vol.
May 14, 2026
23°C or below
$7,042 Vol.
4%
24°C
$2,803 Vol.
16%
25°C
$1,465 Vol.
28%
26°C
$1,232 Vol.
21%
27°C
$1,008 Vol.
21%
28°C
$2,568 Vol.
12%
29°C
$3,323 Vol.
5%
30°C
$4,198 Vol.
2%
31°C
$3,638 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,987 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$3,836 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Chengdu's highest temperature today, with market-implied odds clustered around 24-27°C amid persistent overcast skies characteristic of the Sichuan Basin's spring meteorology. Latest guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, alongside GFS and ECMWF models, converges on midday peaks near 26-28°C, but extensive low-level stratus clouds are limiting solar insolation and suppressing boundary-layer heating from a mild morning start near 22°C. Historical May climatology shows average highs of 25-27°C, often moderated by basin-trapped fog and clouds; subtle differences hinge on afternoon cloud breaks or persistence, with hourly observations from official stations like Shuangliu Airport providing resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volume
$32,884Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Chengdu's highest temperature today, with market-implied odds clustered around 24-27°C amid persistent overcast skies characteristic of the Sichuan Basin's spring meteorology. Latest guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, alongside GFS and ECMWF models, converges on midday peaks near 26-28°C, but extensive low-level stratus clouds are limiting solar insolation and suppressing boundary-layer heating from a mild morning start near 22°C. Historical May climatology shows average highs of 25-27°C, often moderated by basin-trapped fog and clouds; subtle differences hinge on afternoon cloud breaks or persistence, with hourly observations from official stations like Shuangliu Airport providing resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$32,884Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Chengdu's highest temperature today, with market-implied odds clustered around 24-27°C amid persistent overcast skies characteristic of the Sichuan Basin's spring meteorology. Latest guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, alongside GFS and ECMWF models, converges on midday peaks near 26-28°C, but extensive low-level stratus clouds are limiting solar insolation and suppressing boundary-layer heating from a mild morning start near 22°C. Historical May climatology shows average highs of 25-27°C, often moderated by basin-trapped fog and clouds; subtle differences hinge on afternoon cloud breaks or persistence, with hourly observations from official stations like Shuangliu Airport providing resolution by evening.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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