Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Shanghai's nocturnal minimum on May 17 around 18-20°C, fueling trader consensus on 19°C (37%) and 18°C (29.5%) as frontrunners amid a tight spread. Recent clear skies over May 15-16 have enabled radiative cooling to 19-20°C lows, but partial cloudiness and persistent southerly breezes (15-22 km/h) on May 17 may temper further drops by mixing the boundary layer and invoking urban heat island effects. Mid-May climatology averages 17-21°C lows, with uncertainty hinging on overnight wind deceleration and cloud evolution; new 00Z model runs and China Meteorological Administration observations expected within 24 hours could shift the balance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
19°C 37%
18°C 32%
20°C 18%
17°C 8.8%
BAGO
BAGO
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
9%
18°C
32%
19°C
37%
20°C
16%
21°C
7%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 37%
18°C 32%
20°C 18%
17°C 8.8%
BAGO
BAGO
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
$328 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$175 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$70 Vol.
1%
17°C
$41 Vol.
9%
18°C
$28 Vol.
32%
19°C
$84 Vol.
37%
20°C
$38 Vol.
16%
21°C
$96 Vol.
7%
22°C
$98 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$380 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Shanghai's nocturnal minimum on May 17 around 18-20°C, fueling trader consensus on 19°C (37%) and 18°C (29.5%) as frontrunners amid a tight spread. Recent clear skies over May 15-16 have enabled radiative cooling to 19-20°C lows, but partial cloudiness and persistent southerly breezes (15-22 km/h) on May 17 may temper further drops by mixing the boundary layer and invoking urban heat island effects. Mid-May climatology averages 17-21°C lows, with uncertainty hinging on overnight wind deceleration and cloud evolution; new 00Z model runs and China Meteorological Administration observations expected within 24 hours could shift the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volume
$1,408Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Shanghai's nocturnal minimum on May 17 around 18-20°C, fueling trader consensus on 19°C (37%) and 18°C (29.5%) as frontrunners amid a tight spread. Recent clear skies over May 15-16 have enabled radiative cooling to 19-20°C lows, but partial cloudiness and persistent southerly breezes (15-22 km/h) on May 17 may temper further drops by mixing the boundary layer and invoking urban heat island effects. Mid-May climatology averages 17-21°C lows, with uncertainty hinging on overnight wind deceleration and cloud evolution; new 00Z model runs and China Meteorological Administration observations expected within 24 hours could shift the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,408Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDLatest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Shanghai's nocturnal minimum on May 17 around 18-20°C, fueling trader consensus on 19°C (37%) and 18°C (29.5%) as frontrunners amid a tight spread. Recent clear skies over May 15-16 have enabled radiative cooling to 19-20°C lows, but partial cloudiness and persistent southerly breezes (15-22 km/h) on May 17 may temper further drops by mixing the boundary layer and invoking urban heat island effects. Mid-May climatology averages 17-21°C lows, with uncertainty hinging on overnight wind deceleration and cloud evolution; new 00Z model runs and China Meteorological Administration observations expected within 24 hours could shift the balance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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