Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 66-67°F (44.5% implied probability) for New York City's highest temperature at Central Park on May 15, closely followed by 68-69°F (37.0%), driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a 67°F peak under mostly sunny skies and light north winds around 8 mph. NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensemble models cluster tightly in the mid-to-upper 60s, reflecting stable upper-air ridging, minimal cloud cover after yesterday's observed 61°F high, and standard diurnal heating amid a cooler-than-normal May (historical mid-May average near 70°F). Differentiating factors include variability in afternoon cloud thickness and peak solar insolation timing, with new 12Z model runs and real-time KNYC observations potentially tipping the balance before end-of-day resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in NYC on May 15?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 15?
66-67°F 44%
68-69°F 37%
70-71°F 11.1%
64-65°F 8%
$39,203 Vol.
$39,203 Vol.
May 15, 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
8%
66-67°F
44%
68-69°F
37%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 44%
68-69°F 37%
70-71°F 11.1%
64-65°F 8%
$39,203 Vol.
$39,203 Vol.
May 15, 2026
55°F or below
$2,587 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$2,113 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$2,943 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$3,176 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$5,331 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$5,095 Vol.
8%
66-67°F
$4,474 Vol.
44%
68-69°F
$3,155 Vol.
37%
70-71°F
$3,787 Vol.
11%
72-73°F
$2,404 Vol.
1%
74°F or higher
$4,171 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 66-67°F (44.5% implied probability) for New York City's highest temperature at Central Park on May 15, closely followed by 68-69°F (37.0%), driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a 67°F peak under mostly sunny skies and light north winds around 8 mph. NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensemble models cluster tightly in the mid-to-upper 60s, reflecting stable upper-air ridging, minimal cloud cover after yesterday's observed 61°F high, and standard diurnal heating amid a cooler-than-normal May (historical mid-May average near 70°F). Differentiating factors include variability in afternoon cloud thickness and peak solar insolation timing, with new 12Z model runs and real-time KNYC observations potentially tipping the balance before end-of-day resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$39,203Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 66-67°F (44.5% implied probability) for New York City's highest temperature at Central Park on May 15, closely followed by 68-69°F (37.0%), driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a 67°F peak under mostly sunny skies and light north winds around 8 mph. NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensemble models cluster tightly in the mid-to-upper 60s, reflecting stable upper-air ridging, minimal cloud cover after yesterday's observed 61°F high, and standard diurnal heating amid a cooler-than-normal May (historical mid-May average near 70°F). Differentiating factors include variability in afternoon cloud thickness and peak solar insolation timing, with new 12Z model runs and real-time KNYC observations potentially tipping the balance before end-of-day resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$39,203Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 66-67°F (44.5% implied probability) for New York City's highest temperature at Central Park on May 15, closely followed by 68-69°F (37.0%), driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a 67°F peak under mostly sunny skies and light north winds around 8 mph. NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensemble models cluster tightly in the mid-to-upper 60s, reflecting stable upper-air ridging, minimal cloud cover after yesterday's observed 61°F high, and standard diurnal heating amid a cooler-than-normal May (historical mid-May average near 70°F). Differentiating factors include variability in afternoon cloud thickness and peak solar insolation timing, with new 12Z model runs and real-time KNYC observations potentially tipping the balance before end-of-day resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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