Recent National Weather Service ensemble guidance projects a highest temperature in New York City on May 17 in the mid-80s, supported by southerly flow under building high pressure that promotes daytime heating. Market odds cluster tightly around the 84–87°F outcomes because short-range models show limited spread in boundary-layer warmth, with small differences in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and mixing depth deciding whether readings peak near 85°F or edge into the upper 80s at Central Park and LaGuardia. This exceeds the mid-May climatological average of roughly 75°F, reflecting a transient warm ridge; evening model updates will clarify peak insolation timing and any convective suppression before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in NYC on May 17?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 17?
86-87°F 32%
84-85°F 28%
88-89°F 24%
82-83°F 10.2%
BAGO
BAGO
May 17, 2026
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
32%
88-89°F
24%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 32%
84-85°F 28%
88-89°F 24%
82-83°F 10.2%
BAGO
BAGO
May 17, 2026
79°F or below
$1,894 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$1,521 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$866 Vol.
10%
84-85°F
$301 Vol.
28%
86-87°F
$461 Vol.
32%
88-89°F
$350 Vol.
24%
90-91°F
$203 Vol.
9%
92-93°F
$140 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$173 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$335 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$349 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service ensemble guidance projects a highest temperature in New York City on May 17 in the mid-80s, supported by southerly flow under building high pressure that promotes daytime heating. Market odds cluster tightly around the 84–87°F outcomes because short-range models show limited spread in boundary-layer warmth, with small differences in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and mixing depth deciding whether readings peak near 85°F or edge into the upper 80s at Central Park and LaGuardia. This exceeds the mid-May climatological average of roughly 75°F, reflecting a transient warm ridge; evening model updates will clarify peak insolation timing and any convective suppression before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$6,592Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service ensemble guidance projects a highest temperature in New York City on May 17 in the mid-80s, supported by southerly flow under building high pressure that promotes daytime heating. Market odds cluster tightly around the 84–87°F outcomes because short-range models show limited spread in boundary-layer warmth, with small differences in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and mixing depth deciding whether readings peak near 85°F or edge into the upper 80s at Central Park and LaGuardia. This exceeds the mid-May climatological average of roughly 75°F, reflecting a transient warm ridge; evening model updates will clarify peak insolation timing and any convective suppression before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,592Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGARecent National Weather Service ensemble guidance projects a highest temperature in New York City on May 17 in the mid-80s, supported by southerly flow under building high pressure that promotes daytime heating. Market odds cluster tightly around the 84–87°F outcomes because short-range models show limited spread in boundary-layer warmth, with small differences in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and mixing depth deciding whether readings peak near 85°F or edge into the upper 80s at Central Park and LaGuardia. This exceeds the mid-May climatological average of roughly 75°F, reflecting a transient warm ridge; evening model updates will clarify peak insolation timing and any convective suppression before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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