The Japan Meteorological Agency forecast projects Tokyo's official minimum temperature at 17°C on May 16, anchored by a stable high-pressure ridge that sustains clear skies and allows moderate radiative cooling overnight under light variable winds. Ensemble runs from JMA and international models converge tightly around this value, slightly above the mid-May climatological normal of roughly 15°C at Haneda, with observed early-morning conditions reinforcing the projection. Trader consensus at 99.7% for the 17°C outcome reflects this strong model agreement and narrow uncertainty band of ±1°C. Realistic deviations could arise from unexpected low-level cloud cover trapping heat or a brief shift in steering flow, though both remain low-probability given current synoptic stability. Final JMA observations later today will resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Tokyo on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 16?
17°C 99.7%
16°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$71,792 Vol.
$71,792 Vol.
May 16, 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
17°C 99.7%
16°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$71,792 Vol.
$71,792 Vol.
May 16, 2026
13°C or below
$5,278 Vol.
1%
14°C
$9,465 Vol.
1%
15°C
$8,278 Vol.
1%
16°C
$4,034 Vol.
1%
17°C
$4,780 Vol.
100%
18°C
$3,787 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$13,509 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$14,438 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$523 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$779 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$6,921 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency forecast projects Tokyo's official minimum temperature at 17°C on May 16, anchored by a stable high-pressure ridge that sustains clear skies and allows moderate radiative cooling overnight under light variable winds. Ensemble runs from JMA and international models converge tightly around this value, slightly above the mid-May climatological normal of roughly 15°C at Haneda, with observed early-morning conditions reinforcing the projection. Trader consensus at 99.7% for the 17°C outcome reflects this strong model agreement and narrow uncertainty band of ±1°C. Realistic deviations could arise from unexpected low-level cloud cover trapping heat or a brief shift in steering flow, though both remain low-probability given current synoptic stability. Final JMA observations later today will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$71,792Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency forecast projects Tokyo's official minimum temperature at 17°C on May 16, anchored by a stable high-pressure ridge that sustains clear skies and allows moderate radiative cooling overnight under light variable winds. Ensemble runs from JMA and international models converge tightly around this value, slightly above the mid-May climatological normal of roughly 15°C at Haneda, with observed early-morning conditions reinforcing the projection. Trader consensus at 99.7% for the 17°C outcome reflects this strong model agreement and narrow uncertainty band of ±1°C. Realistic deviations could arise from unexpected low-level cloud cover trapping heat or a brief shift in steering flow, though both remain low-probability given current synoptic stability. Final JMA observations later today will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$71,792Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThe Japan Meteorological Agency forecast projects Tokyo's official minimum temperature at 17°C on May 16, anchored by a stable high-pressure ridge that sustains clear skies and allows moderate radiative cooling overnight under light variable winds. Ensemble runs from JMA and international models converge tightly around this value, slightly above the mid-May climatological normal of roughly 15°C at Haneda, with observed early-morning conditions reinforcing the projection. Trader consensus at 99.7% for the 17°C outcome reflects this strong model agreement and narrow uncertainty band of ±1°C. Realistic deviations could arise from unexpected low-level cloud cover trapping heat or a brief shift in steering flow, though both remain low-probability given current synoptic stability. Final JMA observations later today will resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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