Ensemble model guidance from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts currently projects a daily maximum near 31–32 °C for Panama City on May 18, anchoring the leading market-implied probabilities at those levels. Mid-May solar angles combined with a subtropical ridge promote efficient daytime heating, yet typical regional moisture and brief convective activity often cap extremes just below 33 °C. Minor shifts in cloud cover or steering winds could nudge the verified high at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport either to 33 °C or keep it at 31 °C, creating the observed balance among closely matched outcomes. Historical May averages near 31 °C further align with this narrow distribution as traders weigh the final model runs ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Panama City on May 18?
32°C 31%
31°C 25%
33°C or higher 21%
30°C 10%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
10%
31°C
19%
32°C
31%
33°C or higher
21%
32°C 31%
31°C 25%
33°C or higher 21%
30°C 10%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
10%
31°C
19%
32°C
31%
33°C or higher
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGEnsemble model guidance from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts currently projects a daily maximum near 31–32 °C for Panama City on May 18, anchoring the leading market-implied probabilities at those levels. Mid-May solar angles combined with a subtropical ridge promote efficient daytime heating, yet typical regional moisture and brief convective activity often cap extremes just below 33 °C. Minor shifts in cloud cover or steering winds could nudge the verified high at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport either to 33 °C or keep it at 31 °C, creating the observed balance among closely matched outcomes. Historical May averages near 31 °C further align with this narrow distribution as traders weigh the final model runs ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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