Recent Met Office forecasts project an overnight low near 11–12°C for London on May 20, driven by a mild southwesterly Atlantic flow that limits radiative cooling under increased cloud cover. Ensemble models show modest spread in minimum temperatures because variable timing of showers and wind speeds can shift the low by 1–2°C overnight. This aligns with the broader warmer-than-average spring pattern across northwest Europe, where climatological mid-May lows average 8–9°C but recent observations have consistently run 2–3°C higher. Traders are weighting the 12–13°C outcomes most heavily as model consensus narrows ahead of the final 48-hour updates expected from the UK Met Office and ECMWF.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in London on May 20?
13°C 34%
12°C 23%
10°C 11%
11°C 8%
7°C or below
7%
8°C
4%
9°C
4%
10°C
11%
11°C
8%
12°C
21%
13°C
25%
14°C
7%
15°C
7%
16°C
4%
17°C or higher
2%
13°C 34%
12°C 23%
10°C 11%
11°C 8%
7°C or below
7%
8°C
4%
9°C
4%
10°C
11%
11°C
8%
12°C
21%
13°C
25%
14°C
7%
15°C
7%
16°C
4%
17°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent Met Office forecasts project an overnight low near 11–12°C for London on May 20, driven by a mild southwesterly Atlantic flow that limits radiative cooling under increased cloud cover. Ensemble models show modest spread in minimum temperatures because variable timing of showers and wind speeds can shift the low by 1–2°C overnight. This aligns with the broader warmer-than-average spring pattern across northwest Europe, where climatological mid-May lows average 8–9°C but recent observations have consistently run 2–3°C higher. Traders are weighting the 12–13°C outcomes most heavily as model consensus narrows ahead of the final 48-hour updates expected from the UK Met Office and ECMWF.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong