Traders are pricing 25–26°C as the most likely maximum for São Paulo on May 16 because recent warm advection from the northwest has kept daytime readings several degrees above the long-term May average of 23°C. Official guidance from INMET and regional models shows a modest cold front arriving later in the weekend with light rain and cloud cover that could cap afternoon heating, yet current surface observations and ensemble runs still support a peak near 25°C before any cooling sets in. The close spread between 25°C and 26°C reflects uncertainty in exact timing of the front and how much solar radiation reaches the surface under partly cloudy conditions. Historical analogs for mid-May under similar pressure patterns have produced highs in this narrow band, with only small shifts in wind direction or moisture content tipping the outcome by one degree.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 16?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 16?
25°C 35%
26°C 28%
24°C 23.0%
27°C 10.0%
BAGO
$19,404 Vol.
BAGO
$19,404 Vol.
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
22%
25°C
35%
26°C
28%
27°C
10%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 35%
26°C 28%
24°C 23.0%
27°C 10.0%
BAGO
$19,404 Vol.
BAGO
$19,404 Vol.
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
$2,260 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,806 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,112 Vol.
1%
22°C
$2,152 Vol.
2%
23°C
$2,072 Vol.
3%
24°C
$2,202 Vol.
22%
25°C
$1,430 Vol.
35%
26°C
$1,702 Vol.
28%
27°C
$1,073 Vol.
10%
28°C
$1,242 Vol.
2%
29°C or higher
$1,443 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders are pricing 25–26°C as the most likely maximum for São Paulo on May 16 because recent warm advection from the northwest has kept daytime readings several degrees above the long-term May average of 23°C. Official guidance from INMET and regional models shows a modest cold front arriving later in the weekend with light rain and cloud cover that could cap afternoon heating, yet current surface observations and ensemble runs still support a peak near 25°C before any cooling sets in. The close spread between 25°C and 26°C reflects uncertainty in exact timing of the front and how much solar radiation reaches the surface under partly cloudy conditions. Historical analogs for mid-May under similar pressure patterns have produced highs in this narrow band, with only small shifts in wind direction or moisture content tipping the outcome by one degree.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$19,404Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders are pricing 25–26°C as the most likely maximum for São Paulo on May 16 because recent warm advection from the northwest has kept daytime readings several degrees above the long-term May average of 23°C. Official guidance from INMET and regional models shows a modest cold front arriving later in the weekend with light rain and cloud cover that could cap afternoon heating, yet current surface observations and ensemble runs still support a peak near 25°C before any cooling sets in. The close spread between 25°C and 26°C reflects uncertainty in exact timing of the front and how much solar radiation reaches the surface under partly cloudy conditions. Historical analogs for mid-May under similar pressure patterns have produced highs in this narrow band, with only small shifts in wind direction or moisture content tipping the outcome by one degree.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$19,404Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing 25–26°C as the most likely maximum for São Paulo on May 16 because recent warm advection from the northwest has kept daytime readings several degrees above the long-term May average of 23°C. Official guidance from INMET and regional models shows a modest cold front arriving later in the weekend with light rain and cloud cover that could cap afternoon heating, yet current surface observations and ensemble runs still support a peak near 25°C before any cooling sets in. The close spread between 25°C and 26°C reflects uncertainty in exact timing of the front and how much solar radiation reaches the surface under partly cloudy conditions. Historical analogs for mid-May under similar pressure patterns have produced highs in this narrow band, with only small shifts in wind direction or moisture content tipping the outcome by one degree.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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