Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model runs have narrowed expectations for Seoul’s May 17 maximum to the 24–25 °C range, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities near 25–28 percent. Clear skies and light winds are supporting modest daytime warming under a weak high-pressure ridge, while modest southerly flow and any afternoon cloud buildup introduce the primary uncertainty between a 24 °C peak and a possible 26 °C reading. Mid-May climatology places typical highs in the low-to-mid 20s, and the tight clustering around these outcomes reflects high confidence in the current 48-hour model consensus ahead of the next KMA forecast update.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
26°C or higher 36%
25°C 23%
24°C 20%
23°C 16%
BAGO
$64,189 Vol.
BAGO
$64,189 Vol.
May 17, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
16%
24°C
20%
25°C
23%
26°C or higher
36%
26°C or higher 36%
25°C 23%
24°C 20%
23°C 16%
BAGO
$64,189 Vol.
BAGO
$64,189 Vol.
May 17, 2026
16°C or below
$1,445 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$3,873 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$7,630 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$4,574 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$7,310 Vol.
1%
21°C
$8,394 Vol.
1%
22°C
$6,704 Vol.
3%
23°C
$6,759 Vol.
16%
24°C
$4,054 Vol.
20%
25°C
$5,135 Vol.
23%
26°C or higher
$10,394 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model runs have narrowed expectations for Seoul’s May 17 maximum to the 24–25 °C range, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities near 25–28 percent. Clear skies and light winds are supporting modest daytime warming under a weak high-pressure ridge, while modest southerly flow and any afternoon cloud buildup introduce the primary uncertainty between a 24 °C peak and a possible 26 °C reading. Mid-May climatology places typical highs in the low-to-mid 20s, and the tight clustering around these outcomes reflects high confidence in the current 48-hour model consensus ahead of the next KMA forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$64,189Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model runs have narrowed expectations for Seoul’s May 17 maximum to the 24–25 °C range, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities near 25–28 percent. Clear skies and light winds are supporting modest daytime warming under a weak high-pressure ridge, while modest southerly flow and any afternoon cloud buildup introduce the primary uncertainty between a 24 °C peak and a possible 26 °C reading. Mid-May climatology places typical highs in the low-to-mid 20s, and the tight clustering around these outcomes reflects high confidence in the current 48-hour model consensus ahead of the next KMA forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$64,189Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model runs have narrowed expectations for Seoul’s May 17 maximum to the 24–25 °C range, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities near 25–28 percent. Clear skies and light winds are supporting modest daytime warming under a weak high-pressure ridge, while modest southerly flow and any afternoon cloud buildup introduce the primary uncertainty between a 24 °C peak and a possible 26 °C reading. Mid-May climatology places typical highs in the low-to-mid 20s, and the tight clustering around these outcomes reflects high confidence in the current 48-hour model consensus ahead of the next KMA forecast update.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong