Recent Korea Meteorological Administration guidance projects a Seoul daytime maximum near or above 25 °C on May 18 under a strengthening high-pressure ridge. This pattern favors subsidence, clear skies, and modest southerly warm-air advection from the Yellow Sea, lifting readings above the mid-May climatological average of roughly 22–23 °C. Model consensus shows limited spread, with only modest cooling possible if a weak frontal boundary arrives earlier than expected. Traders have therefore assigned the highest implied probability to the 25 °C-or-higher bin, while still pricing a meaningful chance for 24 °C if advection remains weaker than anticipated. Updated short-range runs and official briefings before resolution will determine final positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Seoul on May 18?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 18?
25°C or higher 65%
24°C 25%
23°C 8%
22°C 3.6%
BAGO
$25,521 Vol.
BAGO
$25,521 Vol.
May 18, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
8%
24°C
25%
25°C or higher
65%
25°C or higher 65%
24°C 25%
23°C 8%
22°C 3.6%
BAGO
$25,521 Vol.
BAGO
$25,521 Vol.
May 18, 2026
15°C or below
$732 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$3,255 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$4,656 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,714 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,686 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,508 Vol.
1%
21°C
$2,948 Vol.
1%
22°C
$2,757 Vol.
4%
23°C
$2,278 Vol.
8%
24°C
$1,129 Vol.
25%
25°C or higher
$2,858 Vol.
65%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration guidance projects a Seoul daytime maximum near or above 25 °C on May 18 under a strengthening high-pressure ridge. This pattern favors subsidence, clear skies, and modest southerly warm-air advection from the Yellow Sea, lifting readings above the mid-May climatological average of roughly 22–23 °C. Model consensus shows limited spread, with only modest cooling possible if a weak frontal boundary arrives earlier than expected. Traders have therefore assigned the highest implied probability to the 25 °C-or-higher bin, while still pricing a meaningful chance for 24 °C if advection remains weaker than anticipated. Updated short-range runs and official briefings before resolution will determine final positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$25,521Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration guidance projects a Seoul daytime maximum near or above 25 °C on May 18 under a strengthening high-pressure ridge. This pattern favors subsidence, clear skies, and modest southerly warm-air advection from the Yellow Sea, lifting readings above the mid-May climatological average of roughly 22–23 °C. Model consensus shows limited spread, with only modest cooling possible if a weak frontal boundary arrives earlier than expected. Traders have therefore assigned the highest implied probability to the 25 °C-or-higher bin, while still pricing a meaningful chance for 24 °C if advection remains weaker than anticipated. Updated short-range runs and official briefings before resolution will determine final positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$25,521Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent Korea Meteorological Administration guidance projects a Seoul daytime maximum near or above 25 °C on May 18 under a strengthening high-pressure ridge. This pattern favors subsidence, clear skies, and modest southerly warm-air advection from the Yellow Sea, lifting readings above the mid-May climatological average of roughly 22–23 °C. Model consensus shows limited spread, with only modest cooling possible if a weak frontal boundary arrives earlier than expected. Traders have therefore assigned the highest implied probability to the 25 °C-or-higher bin, while still pricing a meaningful chance for 24 °C if advection remains weaker than anticipated. Updated short-range runs and official briefings before resolution will determine final positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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