Trader consensus has converged on a 25°C high for Hong Kong on May 16, driven by the latest Hong Kong Observatory forecast models showing steady subtropical conditions with minimal daytime warming. Current surface observations and ensemble runs indicate maximum temperatures will reach but not exceed this threshold, consistent with typical mid-May climatology influenced by moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits radiative heating. Historical analogs from the past decade support this outcome, with May maxima averaging near 25°C when similar pressure patterns prevail. Minor model disagreements on afternoon convection could allow a brief push toward 26°C, though such revisions remain unlikely given the stability of recent guidance and the narrow resolution window closing today.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
$248,191 Vol.
$248,191 Vol.
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
$248,191 Vol.
$248,191 Vol.
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
$19,062 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$11,752 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$11,992 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$6,633 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,753 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$36,373 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$44,720 Vol.
100%
26°C
$28,117 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$39,021 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$24,051 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$22,716 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has converged on a 25°C high for Hong Kong on May 16, driven by the latest Hong Kong Observatory forecast models showing steady subtropical conditions with minimal daytime warming. Current surface observations and ensemble runs indicate maximum temperatures will reach but not exceed this threshold, consistent with typical mid-May climatology influenced by moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits radiative heating. Historical analogs from the past decade support this outcome, with May maxima averaging near 25°C when similar pressure patterns prevail. Minor model disagreements on afternoon convection could allow a brief push toward 26°C, though such revisions remain unlikely given the stability of recent guidance and the narrow resolution window closing today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volume
$248,191Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has converged on a 25°C high for Hong Kong on May 16, driven by the latest Hong Kong Observatory forecast models showing steady subtropical conditions with minimal daytime warming. Current surface observations and ensemble runs indicate maximum temperatures will reach but not exceed this threshold, consistent with typical mid-May climatology influenced by moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits radiative heating. Historical analogs from the past decade support this outcome, with May maxima averaging near 25°C when similar pressure patterns prevail. Minor model disagreements on afternoon convection could allow a brief push toward 26°C, though such revisions remain unlikely given the stability of recent guidance and the narrow resolution window closing today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$248,191Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus has converged on a 25°C high for Hong Kong on May 16, driven by the latest Hong Kong Observatory forecast models showing steady subtropical conditions with minimal daytime warming. Current surface observations and ensemble runs indicate maximum temperatures will reach but not exceed this threshold, consistent with typical mid-May climatology influenced by moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits radiative heating. Historical analogs from the past decade support this outcome, with May maxima averaging near 25°C when similar pressure patterns prevail. Minor model disagreements on afternoon convection could allow a brief push toward 26°C, though such revisions remain unlikely given the stability of recent guidance and the narrow resolution window closing today.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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