Traders strongly favor a highest temperature of exactly 30°C in Taipei on May 16, driven by the latest meteorological model consensus from regional agencies projecting peak readings near that level amid typical late-spring high-pressure dominance and moderate humidity. Official temperature observations and short-range forecasts indicate stable atmospheric conditions that cap extreme daytime heating while preventing significant cooling from cloud cover or rainfall. Historical climatology for mid-May shows average maxima of 29–31°C, supporting the narrow range around 30°C. A small chance of 31°C or higher exists if solar insolation exceeds model projections, whereas 29°C would require unexpected precipitation or stronger northerly flow not currently indicated in guidance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Taipei on May 16?
30°C 98.0%
31°C or higher 1.8%
29°C <1%
$48,483 Vol.
$48,483 Vol.
29°C
<1%
30°C
98%
31°C or higher
2%
30°C 98.0%
31°C or higher 1.8%
29°C <1%
$48,483 Vol.
$48,483 Vol.
29°C
<1%
30°C
98%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders strongly favor a highest temperature of exactly 30°C in Taipei on May 16, driven by the latest meteorological model consensus from regional agencies projecting peak readings near that level amid typical late-spring high-pressure dominance and moderate humidity. Official temperature observations and short-range forecasts indicate stable atmospheric conditions that cap extreme daytime heating while preventing significant cooling from cloud cover or rainfall. Historical climatology for mid-May shows average maxima of 29–31°C, supporting the narrow range around 30°C. A small chance of 31°C or higher exists if solar insolation exceeds model projections, whereas 29°C would require unexpected precipitation or stronger northerly flow not currently indicated in guidance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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