Recent model guidance from regional ensembles points to a modest daytime maximum near 29–31°C in Taipei on May 17, reflecting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Taipei’s humid subtropical setting sits in a transitional window between spring warming and the onset of the Meiyu front, where subtle shifts in steering flow or moisture can cap afternoon heating by 1–2°C through increased cloud cover and sea-breeze mixing. Historical Central Weather Administration records for mid-May show daily highs spanning 27–33°C, underscoring why traders assign meaningful probability to both 29°C and 31°C. Updated forecasts and any overnight frontal passage will be the next key inputs that can shift the narrow implied range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Taipei on May 17?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 17?
30°C 31%
29°C 28%
31°C 25%
28°C 15%
BAGO
$13,086 Vol.
BAGO
$13,086 Vol.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
15%
29°C
28%
30°C
31%
31°C
25%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 31%
29°C 28%
31°C 25%
28°C 15%
BAGO
$13,086 Vol.
BAGO
$13,086 Vol.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
$793 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$555 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$935 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,897 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,177 Vol.
2%
28°C
$823 Vol.
15%
29°C
$516 Vol.
28%
30°C
$385 Vol.
31%
31°C
$584 Vol.
25%
32°C
$1,259 Vol.
6%
33°C or higher
$3,182 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model guidance from regional ensembles points to a modest daytime maximum near 29–31°C in Taipei on May 17, reflecting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Taipei’s humid subtropical setting sits in a transitional window between spring warming and the onset of the Meiyu front, where subtle shifts in steering flow or moisture can cap afternoon heating by 1–2°C through increased cloud cover and sea-breeze mixing. Historical Central Weather Administration records for mid-May show daily highs spanning 27–33°C, underscoring why traders assign meaningful probability to both 29°C and 31°C. Updated forecasts and any overnight frontal passage will be the next key inputs that can shift the narrow implied range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$13,086Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model guidance from regional ensembles points to a modest daytime maximum near 29–31°C in Taipei on May 17, reflecting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Taipei’s humid subtropical setting sits in a transitional window between spring warming and the onset of the Meiyu front, where subtle shifts in steering flow or moisture can cap afternoon heating by 1–2°C through increased cloud cover and sea-breeze mixing. Historical Central Weather Administration records for mid-May show daily highs spanning 27–33°C, underscoring why traders assign meaningful probability to both 29°C and 31°C. Updated forecasts and any overnight frontal passage will be the next key inputs that can shift the narrow implied range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,086Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRecent model guidance from regional ensembles points to a modest daytime maximum near 29–31°C in Taipei on May 17, reflecting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Taipei’s humid subtropical setting sits in a transitional window between spring warming and the onset of the Meiyu front, where subtle shifts in steering flow or moisture can cap afternoon heating by 1–2°C through increased cloud cover and sea-breeze mixing. Historical Central Weather Administration records for mid-May show daily highs spanning 27–33°C, underscoring why traders assign meaningful probability to both 29°C and 31°C. Updated forecasts and any overnight frontal passage will be the next key inputs that can shift the narrow implied range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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