Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and KNMI indicate a modest warming trend for Amsterdam on May 18, driven by shifting northwest winds and variable cloud cover that could allow brief afternoon breaks in the maritime air mass. With May climatology favoring highs near 16°C, model consensus currently clusters maximum temperatures between 14°C and 16°C, explaining the tight market distribution among those three outcomes. Key uncertainties center on the extent of daytime insolation and any passing showers, which would suppress peak readings toward the lower end of that range, while clearer conditions could push values slightly higher. Updated midday model runs and Schiphol observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 18?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 18?
15°C 35%
14°C 28%
16°C 27%
13°C 10.4%
BAGO
BAGO
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
10%
14°C
28%
15°C
35%
16°C
27%
17°C
6%
18°C or higher
1%
15°C 35%
14°C 28%
16°C 27%
13°C 10.4%
BAGO
BAGO
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
$316 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$202 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$144 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$184 Vol.
1%
12°C
$194 Vol.
2%
13°C
$222 Vol.
10%
14°C
$598 Vol.
28%
15°C
$263 Vol.
35%
16°C
$226 Vol.
27%
17°C
$99 Vol.
6%
18°C or higher
$127 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and KNMI indicate a modest warming trend for Amsterdam on May 18, driven by shifting northwest winds and variable cloud cover that could allow brief afternoon breaks in the maritime air mass. With May climatology favoring highs near 16°C, model consensus currently clusters maximum temperatures between 14°C and 16°C, explaining the tight market distribution among those three outcomes. Key uncertainties center on the extent of daytime insolation and any passing showers, which would suppress peak readings toward the lower end of that range, while clearer conditions could push values slightly higher. Updated midday model runs and Schiphol observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$2,575Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and KNMI indicate a modest warming trend for Amsterdam on May 18, driven by shifting northwest winds and variable cloud cover that could allow brief afternoon breaks in the maritime air mass. With May climatology favoring highs near 16°C, model consensus currently clusters maximum temperatures between 14°C and 16°C, explaining the tight market distribution among those three outcomes. Key uncertainties center on the extent of daytime insolation and any passing showers, which would suppress peak readings toward the lower end of that range, while clearer conditions could push values slightly higher. Updated midday model runs and Schiphol observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,575Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMRecent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and KNMI indicate a modest warming trend for Amsterdam on May 18, driven by shifting northwest winds and variable cloud cover that could allow brief afternoon breaks in the maritime air mass. With May climatology favoring highs near 16°C, model consensus currently clusters maximum temperatures between 14°C and 16°C, explaining the tight market distribution among those three outcomes. Key uncertainties center on the extent of daytime insolation and any passing showers, which would suppress peak readings toward the lower end of that range, while clearer conditions could push values slightly higher. Updated midday model runs and Schiphol observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong