Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models converge on a maximum temperature of exactly 15°C for Warsaw on May 16, underpinning the market’s 99.8% implied probability for that outcome. Stable high pressure with moderate northwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover has limited daytime heating across the region, keeping readings consistent with recent model runs. This positioning aligns with current observational trends showing below-average May temperatures, where Warsaw typically sees highs near 19°C but experiences cooler episodes under similar synoptic setups. Official measurements from Poland’s Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will determine resolution, with minimal forecast spread reducing the chance of shifts to 16°C or lower.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 16?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 16?
15°C 99.8%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
13°C <1%
$65,351 Vol.
$65,351 Vol.
May 16, 2026
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
15°C 99.8%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
13°C <1%
$65,351 Vol.
$65,351 Vol.
May 16, 2026
13°C
$15,774 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$7,614 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$9,382 Vol.
100%
16°C
$7,252 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$3,666 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,273 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,267 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,392 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,620 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$3,032 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models converge on a maximum temperature of exactly 15°C for Warsaw on May 16, underpinning the market’s 99.8% implied probability for that outcome. Stable high pressure with moderate northwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover has limited daytime heating across the region, keeping readings consistent with recent model runs. This positioning aligns with current observational trends showing below-average May temperatures, where Warsaw typically sees highs near 19°C but experiences cooler episodes under similar synoptic setups. Official measurements from Poland’s Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will determine resolution, with minimal forecast spread reducing the chance of shifts to 16°C or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$65,351Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models converge on a maximum temperature of exactly 15°C for Warsaw on May 16, underpinning the market’s 99.8% implied probability for that outcome. Stable high pressure with moderate northwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover has limited daytime heating across the region, keeping readings consistent with recent model runs. This positioning aligns with current observational trends showing below-average May temperatures, where Warsaw typically sees highs near 19°C but experiences cooler episodes under similar synoptic setups. Official measurements from Poland’s Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will determine resolution, with minimal forecast spread reducing the chance of shifts to 16°C or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$65,351Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models converge on a maximum temperature of exactly 15°C for Warsaw on May 16, underpinning the market’s 99.8% implied probability for that outcome. Stable high pressure with moderate northwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover has limited daytime heating across the region, keeping readings consistent with recent model runs. This positioning aligns with current observational trends showing below-average May temperatures, where Warsaw typically sees highs near 19°C but experiences cooler episodes under similar synoptic setups. Official measurements from Poland’s Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will determine resolution, with minimal forecast spread reducing the chance of shifts to 16°C or lower.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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