Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model clustering around 17–19°C for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) ensembles showing means near 18°C amid a high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia ushering southerly winds and above-normal diurnal heating. Recent Finnish Meteorological Institute observations indicate mild spring conditions post-early May cold snap, with partly cloudy skies and low precipitation risk favoring 18°C (36.5% implied probability) over 17°C (27.0%), though lingering morning clouds or slight frontal timing shifts could cap peaks at 17°C or push to 19°C (18.5%). Historical mid-May highs average 15–17°C, underscoring current mild anomaly; evening 00Z model runs may sharpen differentiation before resolution at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 16?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 16?
18°C 37%
17°C 31%
19°C 17%
16°C 5.8%
BAGO
$12,782 Vol.
BAGO
$12,782 Vol.
May 16, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
6%
17°C
31%
18°C
37%
19°C
17%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 37%
17°C 31%
19°C 17%
16°C 5.8%
BAGO
$12,782 Vol.
BAGO
$12,782 Vol.
May 16, 2026
14°C or below
$1,550 Vol.
1%
15°C
$1,162 Vol.
2%
16°C
$993 Vol.
6%
17°C
$1,575 Vol.
31%
18°C
$1,377 Vol.
37%
19°C
$1,075 Vol.
17%
20°C
$1,220 Vol.
3%
21°C
$1,698 Vol.
3%
22°C
$751 Vol.
1%
23°C
$518 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$862 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model clustering around 17–19°C for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) ensembles showing means near 18°C amid a high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia ushering southerly winds and above-normal diurnal heating. Recent Finnish Meteorological Institute observations indicate mild spring conditions post-early May cold snap, with partly cloudy skies and low precipitation risk favoring 18°C (36.5% implied probability) over 17°C (27.0%), though lingering morning clouds or slight frontal timing shifts could cap peaks at 17°C or push to 19°C (18.5%). Historical mid-May highs average 15–17°C, underscoring current mild anomaly; evening 00Z model runs may sharpen differentiation before resolution at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$12,782Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model clustering around 17–19°C for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) ensembles showing means near 18°C amid a high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia ushering southerly winds and above-normal diurnal heating. Recent Finnish Meteorological Institute observations indicate mild spring conditions post-early May cold snap, with partly cloudy skies and low precipitation risk favoring 18°C (36.5% implied probability) over 17°C (27.0%), though lingering morning clouds or slight frontal timing shifts could cap peaks at 17°C or push to 19°C (18.5%). Historical mid-May highs average 15–17°C, underscoring current mild anomaly; evening 00Z model runs may sharpen differentiation before resolution at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,782Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model clustering around 17–19°C for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) ensembles showing means near 18°C amid a high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia ushering southerly winds and above-normal diurnal heating. Recent Finnish Meteorological Institute observations indicate mild spring conditions post-early May cold snap, with partly cloudy skies and low precipitation risk favoring 18°C (36.5% implied probability) over 17°C (27.0%), though lingering morning clouds or slight frontal timing shifts could cap peaks at 17°C or push to 19°C (18.5%). Historical mid-May highs average 15–17°C, underscoring current mild anomaly; evening 00Z model runs may sharpen differentiation before resolution at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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