Ensemble forecast models from ECMWF and GFS currently indicate an overnight low near 10°C for Paris on May 19, reflecting a gradual warming trend after the recent cool air outbreak that produced sub-8°C readings earlier in the month. Climatological averages place typical mid-May minima around 10–11°C, with radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds as the dominant factors differentiating the 9–12°C buckets. Traders appear to weigh model spread in dew-point forecasts and potential for brief high pressure against seasonal norms, keeping the 10°C outcome narrowly ahead while leaving room for revisions as new guidance arrives in the next 48–72 hours.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Paris on May 19?
10°C 25%
11°C 22%
8°C 20%
9°C 16%
5°C or below
1%
6°C
4%
7°C
5%
8°C
20%
9°C
16%
10°C
25%
11°C
22%
12°C
12%
13°C
2%
14°C
4%
15°C or higher
1%
10°C 25%
11°C 22%
8°C 20%
9°C 16%
5°C or below
1%
6°C
4%
7°C
5%
8°C
20%
9°C
16%
10°C
25%
11°C
22%
12°C
12%
13°C
2%
14°C
4%
15°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ensemble forecast models from ECMWF and GFS currently indicate an overnight low near 10°C for Paris on May 19, reflecting a gradual warming trend after the recent cool air outbreak that produced sub-8°C readings earlier in the month. Climatological averages place typical mid-May minima around 10–11°C, with radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds as the dominant factors differentiating the 9–12°C buckets. Traders appear to weigh model spread in dew-point forecasts and potential for brief high pressure against seasonal norms, keeping the 10°C outcome narrowly ahead while leaving room for revisions as new guidance arrives in the next 48–72 hours.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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