Traders have converged on 27°C as the highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15, driven by official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming a verified daily maximum under typical mid-May subtropical conditions. With the date concluded, real-time station data and quality-controlled records have eliminated forecast uncertainty, leaving alternative outcomes with effectively zero implied probability. This aligns with regional climatology, where May highs commonly range 26–28°C absent unusual synoptic patterns such as strengthened southerly flow or delayed monsoon onset. Any future data revision would require an extraordinary correction to the primary monitoring network, an event without precedent in recent Observatory reporting cycles.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
27°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
$288,418 Vol.
$288,418 Vol.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
$288,418 Vol.
$288,418 Vol.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
$3,197 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,451 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,480 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,250 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,796 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,477 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$30,133 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$68,740 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$87,748 Vol.
100%
28°C
$44,540 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$35,605 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on 27°C as the highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15, driven by official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming a verified daily maximum under typical mid-May subtropical conditions. With the date concluded, real-time station data and quality-controlled records have eliminated forecast uncertainty, leaving alternative outcomes with effectively zero implied probability. This aligns with regional climatology, where May highs commonly range 26–28°C absent unusual synoptic patterns such as strengthened southerly flow or delayed monsoon onset. Any future data revision would require an extraordinary correction to the primary monitoring network, an event without precedent in recent Observatory reporting cycles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$288,418Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on 27°C as the highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15, driven by official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming a verified daily maximum under typical mid-May subtropical conditions. With the date concluded, real-time station data and quality-controlled records have eliminated forecast uncertainty, leaving alternative outcomes with effectively zero implied probability. This aligns with regional climatology, where May highs commonly range 26–28°C absent unusual synoptic patterns such as strengthened southerly flow or delayed monsoon onset. Any future data revision would require an extraordinary correction to the primary monitoring network, an event without precedent in recent Observatory reporting cycles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$288,418Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on 27°C as the highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15, driven by official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming a verified daily maximum under typical mid-May subtropical conditions. With the date concluded, real-time station data and quality-controlled records have eliminated forecast uncertainty, leaving alternative outcomes with effectively zero implied probability. This aligns with regional climatology, where May highs commonly range 26–28°C absent unusual synoptic patterns such as strengthened southerly flow or delayed monsoon onset. Any future data revision would require an extraordinary correction to the primary monitoring network, an event without precedent in recent Observatory reporting cycles.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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