Jakarta’s mid-May climatological normals place daily maxima near 33°C under typical ENSO-neutral conditions and the early dry-season transition, with BMKG guidance and short-range model consensus currently favoring a peak of 33–34°C on May 18. Light-to-moderate cloud cover and scattered showers expected over the next 48 hours introduce modest cooling potential that keeps 32°C in play, while the city’s urban heat-island effect and high solar insolation sustain the chance of brief clearing that could push readings to 35°C. Historical May distributions show these single-degree thresholds occur with roughly equal frequency, producing the tight market spread between the two leading outcomes. Updated BMKG forecasts and afternoon model runs on May 17 will be the decisive inputs for final resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 18?
33°C 34%
34°C 30%
32°C 13%
35°C 11%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
13%
33°C
34%
34°C
30%
35°C
11%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 34%
34°C 30%
32°C 13%
35°C 11%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
13%
33°C
34%
34°C
30%
35°C
11%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHJakarta’s mid-May climatological normals place daily maxima near 33°C under typical ENSO-neutral conditions and the early dry-season transition, with BMKG guidance and short-range model consensus currently favoring a peak of 33–34°C on May 18. Light-to-moderate cloud cover and scattered showers expected over the next 48 hours introduce modest cooling potential that keeps 32°C in play, while the city’s urban heat-island effect and high solar insolation sustain the chance of brief clearing that could push readings to 35°C. Historical May distributions show these single-degree thresholds occur with roughly equal frequency, producing the tight market spread between the two leading outcomes. Updated BMKG forecasts and afternoon model runs on May 17 will be the decisive inputs for final resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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