Springtime temperature variability in northern France keeps market odds tightly bunched near 45–50 percent across the 6–16 °C range for Paris’s May 20 low. Climatological data show average overnight minima near 10 °C at Paris-Le Bourget, yet current model guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF highlights a wide spread driven by uncertain cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Clear skies could allow stronger radiational cooling and push readings toward the lower buckets, while persistent low-level moisture or a mild Atlantic flow would favor values near or above 12 °C. With resolution only four days away, traders are weighting the next high-resolution model updates that will narrow the forecast envelope.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Paris on May 20?
Lowest temperature in Paris on May 20?
16°C or higher 51%
11°C 48%
13°C 47%
9°C 46%
BAGO
BAGO
May 20, 2026
6°C or below
3%
7°C
-
8°C
45%
9°C
46%
10°C
46%
11°C
48%
12°C
45%
13°C
47%
14°C
45%
15°C
45%
16°C or higher
51%
16°C or higher 51%
11°C 48%
13°C 47%
9°C 46%
BAGO
BAGO
May 20, 2026
6°C or below
$71 Vol.
3%
7°C
$110 Vol.
-
8°C
$0 Vol.
45%
9°C
$0 Vol.
46%
10°C
$0 Vol.
46%
11°C
$0 Vol.
48%
12°C
$25 Vol.
45%
13°C
$0 Vol.
47%
14°C
$0 Vol.
45%
15°C
$0 Vol.
45%
16°C or higher
$43 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Springtime temperature variability in northern France keeps market odds tightly bunched near 45–50 percent across the 6–16 °C range for Paris’s May 20 low. Climatological data show average overnight minima near 10 °C at Paris-Le Bourget, yet current model guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF highlights a wide spread driven by uncertain cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Clear skies could allow stronger radiational cooling and push readings toward the lower buckets, while persistent low-level moisture or a mild Atlantic flow would favor values near or above 12 °C. With resolution only four days away, traders are weighting the next high-resolution model updates that will narrow the forecast envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$247Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Springtime temperature variability in northern France keeps market odds tightly bunched near 45–50 percent across the 6–16 °C range for Paris’s May 20 low. Climatological data show average overnight minima near 10 °C at Paris-Le Bourget, yet current model guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF highlights a wide spread driven by uncertain cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Clear skies could allow stronger radiational cooling and push readings toward the lower buckets, while persistent low-level moisture or a mild Atlantic flow would favor values near or above 12 °C. With resolution only four days away, traders are weighting the next high-resolution model updates that will narrow the forecast envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$247Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSpringtime temperature variability in northern France keeps market odds tightly bunched near 45–50 percent across the 6–16 °C range for Paris’s May 20 low. Climatological data show average overnight minima near 10 °C at Paris-Le Bourget, yet current model guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF highlights a wide spread driven by uncertain cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Clear skies could allow stronger radiational cooling and push readings toward the lower buckets, while persistent low-level moisture or a mild Atlantic flow would favor values near or above 12 °C. With resolution only four days away, traders are weighting the next high-resolution model updates that will narrow the forecast envelope.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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