Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a maximum temperature of 20°C or below in São Paulo at 67.5% implied probability, driven by the advance of a new cold front—a mass of polar air interacting with an Atlantic low-pressure system—as confirmed by INMET forecasts showing many clouds, showers, and suppressed highs around 18–21°C. Recent updates from May 13 highlight this system's arrival today, May 15, with 65–100% rain chances limiting solar heating and diurnal warming. May climatology supports such events, with typical highs near 23°C but frequent cold outbreaks dropping them below 20°C; model consensus from INMET and Climatempo aligns on cooler conditions, though slight delays could push toward 21–22°C (22% and 10% odds). Real-time INMET observations through afternoon will refine resolution based on official airport or city station data.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 15?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 15?
20°C or below 56.1%
21°C 20%
22°C 10%
23°C 3.0%
$48,209 Vol.
$48,209 Vol.
May 15, 2026
20°C or below
65%
21°C
20%
22°C
10%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
20°C or below 56.1%
21°C 20%
22°C 10%
23°C 3.0%
$48,209 Vol.
$48,209 Vol.
May 15, 2026
20°C or below
$10,135 Vol.
65%
21°C
$4,757 Vol.
20%
22°C
$5,674 Vol.
10%
23°C
$5,385 Vol.
3%
24°C
$4,519 Vol.
1%
25°C
$5,464 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,864 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,929 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,734 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$833 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$2,045 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a maximum temperature of 20°C or below in São Paulo at 67.5% implied probability, driven by the advance of a new cold front—a mass of polar air interacting with an Atlantic low-pressure system—as confirmed by INMET forecasts showing many clouds, showers, and suppressed highs around 18–21°C. Recent updates from May 13 highlight this system's arrival today, May 15, with 65–100% rain chances limiting solar heating and diurnal warming. May climatology supports such events, with typical highs near 23°C but frequent cold outbreaks dropping them below 20°C; model consensus from INMET and Climatempo aligns on cooler conditions, though slight delays could push toward 21–22°C (22% and 10% odds). Real-time INMET observations through afternoon will refine resolution based on official airport or city station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$48,209Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a maximum temperature of 20°C or below in São Paulo at 67.5% implied probability, driven by the advance of a new cold front—a mass of polar air interacting with an Atlantic low-pressure system—as confirmed by INMET forecasts showing many clouds, showers, and suppressed highs around 18–21°C. Recent updates from May 13 highlight this system's arrival today, May 15, with 65–100% rain chances limiting solar heating and diurnal warming. May climatology supports such events, with typical highs near 23°C but frequent cold outbreaks dropping them below 20°C; model consensus from INMET and Climatempo aligns on cooler conditions, though slight delays could push toward 21–22°C (22% and 10% odds). Real-time INMET observations through afternoon will refine resolution based on official airport or city station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$48,209Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a maximum temperature of 20°C or below in São Paulo at 67.5% implied probability, driven by the advance of a new cold front—a mass of polar air interacting with an Atlantic low-pressure system—as confirmed by INMET forecasts showing many clouds, showers, and suppressed highs around 18–21°C. Recent updates from May 13 highlight this system's arrival today, May 15, with 65–100% rain chances limiting solar heating and diurnal warming. May climatology supports such events, with typical highs near 23°C but frequent cold outbreaks dropping them below 20°C; model consensus from INMET and Climatempo aligns on cooler conditions, though slight delays could push toward 21–22°C (22% and 10% odds). Real-time INMET observations through afternoon will refine resolution based on official airport or city station data.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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