National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from the GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 66°F in Denver on May 17, driven by a cooler air mass arriving behind a frontal passage that ended the recent heat wave. This positions the 71°F-or-below outcome as the clear market leader at 86.5% implied probability, well below the mid-May climatological normal of 73°F. Light northerly winds, increasing cloud cover, and reduced insolation further limit daytime heating from overnight lows in the upper 40s. Traders will watch the next model updates and early observations at Denver International Airport for any shifts in the thermal profile before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Denver on May 17?
71°F or below 88%
72-73°F 8%
74-75°F 1.3%
76-77°F <1%
$20,668 Vol.
$20,668 Vol.
71°F or below
88%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
71°F or below 88%
72-73°F 8%
74-75°F 1.3%
76-77°F <1%
$20,668 Vol.
$20,668 Vol.
71°F or below
88%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFNational Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from the GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 66°F in Denver on May 17, driven by a cooler air mass arriving behind a frontal passage that ended the recent heat wave. This positions the 71°F-or-below outcome as the clear market leader at 86.5% implied probability, well below the mid-May climatological normal of 73°F. Light northerly winds, increasing cloud cover, and reduced insolation further limit daytime heating from overnight lows in the upper 40s. Traders will watch the next model updates and early observations at Denver International Airport for any shifts in the thermal profile before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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