Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's high temperature on May 15 between 14-16°C under a low-pressure trough ushering northerly winds, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers over Lombardy, explaining the tight trader consensus with 14°C (29.5%) edging 15°C (27.0%). This marks a sharp anomaly from the 22°C May climatological average, amplified by recent unstable weather including Lombardy hailstorms on May 7. Differentiating factors hinge on model spread in cloud thickness and frontal boundary position, which could cap peaks at 14°C or allow brief clearing for 16°C. Overnight model updates from the Italian Aeronautica Militare and ECMWF may sharpen probabilities before observations resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Milan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 15?
14°C 28%
15°C 28%
17°C 19%
16°C 18%
$16,885 Vol.
$16,885 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
10%
14°C
28%
15°C
28%
16°C
18%
17°C
19%
18°C
5%
19°C or higher
1%
14°C 28%
15°C 28%
17°C 19%
16°C 18%
$16,885 Vol.
$16,885 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
10%
14°C
28%
15°C
28%
16°C
18%
17°C
19%
18°C
5%
19°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's high temperature on May 15 between 14-16°C under a low-pressure trough ushering northerly winds, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers over Lombardy, explaining the tight trader consensus with 14°C (29.5%) edging 15°C (27.0%). This marks a sharp anomaly from the 22°C May climatological average, amplified by recent unstable weather including Lombardy hailstorms on May 7. Differentiating factors hinge on model spread in cloud thickness and frontal boundary position, which could cap peaks at 14°C or allow brief clearing for 16°C. Overnight model updates from the Italian Aeronautica Militare and ECMWF may sharpen probabilities before observations resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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