Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest guidance from Italy's Aeronautica Militare and ARPA Lombardia, pricing a high of 17°C at 37.5% and 18°C at 27.5%, driven by a cold air mass influx from northern Europe ushering in cloudy conditions, scattered showers, and a yellow thunderstorm alert for Lombardy today. Morning temperatures hovered around 11–13°C under overcast skies, with northerly winds limiting daytime heating via persistent stratiform cloud cover and potential convective activity suppressing peaks during 2–5 p.m. ECMWF and GFS ensembles show slight divergence, with some runs favoring 16–17°C if showers intensify, others 18–19°C on partial clearing; historical May highs average 22°C but frontal passages like this cap anomalies. Real-time data from Milan Linate station will clarify resolution by evening.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Milan on May 14?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 14?
17°C 41%
18°C 29%
16°C 16%
19°C 11.1%
$42,201 Vol.
$42,201 Vol.
12°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
16%
17°C
41%
18°C
29%
19°C
11%
20°C or higher
2%
17°C 41%
18°C 29%
16°C 16%
19°C 11.1%
$42,201 Vol.
$42,201 Vol.
12°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
16%
17°C
41%
18°C
29%
19°C
11%
20°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest guidance from Italy's Aeronautica Militare and ARPA Lombardia, pricing a high of 17°C at 37.5% and 18°C at 27.5%, driven by a cold air mass influx from northern Europe ushering in cloudy conditions, scattered showers, and a yellow thunderstorm alert for Lombardy today. Morning temperatures hovered around 11–13°C under overcast skies, with northerly winds limiting daytime heating via persistent stratiform cloud cover and potential convective activity suppressing peaks during 2–5 p.m. ECMWF and GFS ensembles show slight divergence, with some runs favoring 16–17°C if showers intensify, others 18–19°C on partial clearing; historical May highs average 22°C but frontal passages like this cap anomalies. Real-time data from Milan Linate station will clarify resolution by evening.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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