MetService New Zealand’s short-range forecast has converged on a 13°C daytime maximum for Wellington on May 16, supported by steady southeasterly flow, persistent low cloud, and limited solar heating from scattered showers. These conditions align with mid-autumn climatology for the region, where mean May highs hover near 14°C but cool maritime air masses often suppress readings when winds remain onshore. Model consensus between regional and global runs shows narrow uncertainty, keeping the implied probability of 13°C above 99 percent. A late northerly shift or unexpected clearing could allow a brief spike to 14°C, yet current observations indicate such deviations remain unlikely before the daily peak is recorded.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Wellington on May 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 16?
13°C 99.8%
15°C <1%
14°C <1%
16°C or higher <1%
$42,630 Vol.
$42,630 Vol.
May 16, 2026
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.8%
15°C <1%
14°C <1%
16°C or higher <1%
$42,630 Vol.
$42,630 Vol.
May 16, 2026
13°C
$9,414 Vol.
100%
14°C
$6,867 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$4,143 Vol.
1%
16°C or higher
$3,445 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService New Zealand’s short-range forecast has converged on a 13°C daytime maximum for Wellington on May 16, supported by steady southeasterly flow, persistent low cloud, and limited solar heating from scattered showers. These conditions align with mid-autumn climatology for the region, where mean May highs hover near 14°C but cool maritime air masses often suppress readings when winds remain onshore. Model consensus between regional and global runs shows narrow uncertainty, keeping the implied probability of 13°C above 99 percent. A late northerly shift or unexpected clearing could allow a brief spike to 14°C, yet current observations indicate such deviations remain unlikely before the daily peak is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Volume
$42,630Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService New Zealand’s short-range forecast has converged on a 13°C daytime maximum for Wellington on May 16, supported by steady southeasterly flow, persistent low cloud, and limited solar heating from scattered showers. These conditions align with mid-autumn climatology for the region, where mean May highs hover near 14°C but cool maritime air masses often suppress readings when winds remain onshore. Model consensus between regional and global runs shows narrow uncertainty, keeping the implied probability of 13°C above 99 percent. A late northerly shift or unexpected clearing could allow a brief spike to 14°C, yet current observations indicate such deviations remain unlikely before the daily peak is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$42,630Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService New Zealand’s short-range forecast has converged on a 13°C daytime maximum for Wellington on May 16, supported by steady southeasterly flow, persistent low cloud, and limited solar heating from scattered showers. These conditions align with mid-autumn climatology for the region, where mean May highs hover near 14°C but cool maritime air masses often suppress readings when winds remain onshore. Model consensus between regional and global runs shows narrow uncertainty, keeping the implied probability of 13°C above 99 percent. A late northerly shift or unexpected clearing could allow a brief spike to 14°C, yet current observations indicate such deviations remain unlikely before the daily peak is recorded.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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