Recent forecast guidance from MetService New Zealand and global numerical weather prediction models clusters the May 18 maximum in Wellington near 14–15 °C, consistent with the city’s mid-autumn maritime climatology influenced by Cook Strait winds. Seasonal norms place daily highs between 12 °C and 15 °C, with light southerly flow and partly cloudy skies expected to cap daytime warming while preventing significant overnight cooling. No major synoptic shifts—such as a strong northerly surge or frontal passage—are currently indicated in the 48-hour window, keeping the distribution tightly centered on the two leading temperature bands. Updated model runs overnight will refine the precise peak and any local variability around the official airport observing site.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Wellington on May 18?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 18?
14°C 44%
15°C 30%
16°C 15%
13°C 10%
BAGO
BAGO
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
10%
14°C
44%
15°C
30%
16°C
15%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 44%
15°C 30%
16°C 15%
13°C 10%
BAGO
BAGO
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
$576 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$220 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$118 Vol.
1%
11°C
$94 Vol.
1%
12°C
$141 Vol.
4%
13°C
$35 Vol.
10%
14°C
$203 Vol.
44%
15°C
$64 Vol.
30%
16°C
$37 Vol.
15%
17°C
$9 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$130 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from MetService New Zealand and global numerical weather prediction models clusters the May 18 maximum in Wellington near 14–15 °C, consistent with the city’s mid-autumn maritime climatology influenced by Cook Strait winds. Seasonal norms place daily highs between 12 °C and 15 °C, with light southerly flow and partly cloudy skies expected to cap daytime warming while preventing significant overnight cooling. No major synoptic shifts—such as a strong northerly surge or frontal passage—are currently indicated in the 48-hour window, keeping the distribution tightly centered on the two leading temperature bands. Updated model runs overnight will refine the precise peak and any local variability around the official airport observing site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,625Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from MetService New Zealand and global numerical weather prediction models clusters the May 18 maximum in Wellington near 14–15 °C, consistent with the city’s mid-autumn maritime climatology influenced by Cook Strait winds. Seasonal norms place daily highs between 12 °C and 15 °C, with light southerly flow and partly cloudy skies expected to cap daytime warming while preventing significant overnight cooling. No major synoptic shifts—such as a strong northerly surge or frontal passage—are currently indicated in the 48-hour window, keeping the distribution tightly centered on the two leading temperature bands. Updated model runs overnight will refine the precise peak and any local variability around the official airport observing site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,625Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNRecent forecast guidance from MetService New Zealand and global numerical weather prediction models clusters the May 18 maximum in Wellington near 14–15 °C, consistent with the city’s mid-autumn maritime climatology influenced by Cook Strait winds. Seasonal norms place daily highs between 12 °C and 15 °C, with light southerly flow and partly cloudy skies expected to cap daytime warming while preventing significant overnight cooling. No major synoptic shifts—such as a strong northerly surge or frontal passage—are currently indicated in the 48-hour window, keeping the distribution tightly centered on the two leading temperature bands. Updated model runs overnight will refine the precise peak and any local variability around the official airport observing site.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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